No. 18 Virginia at No. 10 Notre Dame College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19


In a matchup that features two programs ranked in the Top 20 nationally, the No. 18 Virginia Cavaliers (+12) are taking on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-12) at Notre Dame Stadium. NBC is scheduled to televise the action and this pivotal afternoon game gets going at 3:30 p.m. ET.

No. 18 Virginia vs. No. 10 Notre Dame Betting Odds 9/28/2019

Notre Dame is favored by 12 points in this matchup. The Cavaliers are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while the Fighting Irish are -475. This game could present some in-game betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 50.5 points.

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With the line opening at -11 and the total set originally at 51, odds have shifted a bit.

The Cavaliers are 4-0 straight up (SU) while the Fighting Irish are 2-1 SU. The Cavaliers are 2-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-2.

The Fighting Irish have gained 0.0 units this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Cavaliers are hoping to stay unbeaten after a 28-17 victory over Old Dominion last week where Bryce Perkins completed 15 passes for only 175 yards and one touchdown. Perkins (35 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Wayne Taulapapa (33 yards on 11 carries, one TD). Joe Reed (four receptions, 40 yards, one TD) and Terrell Jana (three catches, 25 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Notre Dame just dropped a 23-17 game to Georgia. The defense allowed the Bulldogs to kill the clock by rushing for 152 yards on 33 attempts, along with one rushing TD. D’Andre Swift put up a good showing for Georgia, posting 98 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts. For Notre Dame, Ian Book completed 29-of-47 passes for 275 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Tony Jones Jr (21 yards on nine rush attempts) led the running game while Cole Kmet (nine receptions, 108 yards, one TD) and Chase Claypool (six catches, 66 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Each team sports a nearly identical (49-51) run-pass ratio on the season. The Cavaliers have produced 134 rush yards per game and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Irish are averaging 144 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

The Wahoos have averaged 237 yards in the air overall and have six passing TDs so far. The Irish have produced 301 pass yards per outing and have nine total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Virginia has allowed 75 rush yards and 189 pass yards per game. Notre Dame has allowed 204.3 yards per game on the ground and 157.3 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Wahoos have given up an ANY/A of 4.07 to opposing QBs, while the Irish are yielding an ANY/A of 3.78.

Perkins is up to 548 pass yards on the year, and has connected on 51-of-84 attempts with five passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Perkins has a 5.87 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.76 over the last two outings.

Ian Book has recorded 468 yards, three TDs and two INTs for Notre Dame. His ANY/A sits at 5.81 for the season and 9.42 over his past two games.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Notre Dame, ATS Winner – Notre Dame, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Cavaliers offense has recorded one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Fighting Irish have accounted for four such plays.

The Virginia defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Notre Dame has given up one such play.

The Virginia offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Notre Dame has created four such runs.

The Cavaliers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Fighting Irish have given up four such runs.

The Virginia defense has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. Notre Dame has recorded just four sacks.

Virginia has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last two games.

Notre Dame has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last two.

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