No. 16 Oregon vs. No. 23 Stanford NCAA Football Betting Pick 9/21/19


The No. 23 Cardinal of Stanford (+10) are set to host their Pac-12 rival Oregon Ducks (-10) at Stanford Stadium. The game will start at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN.

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No. 16 Oregon vs. No. 23 Stanford Betting Odds 9/21/2019

Oregon is favored by 10 points in this Pac-12 game. The Ducks are currently getting -400 moneyline odds while taking the big underdog Cardinal would provide gamblers with a 3X payout at +300. The over/under is set at 59.5 points, and if one program can catch a lucky break early, it will probably generate a solid in-game betting scenario.

This game’s line originally opened at 8 while the over/under was initially pegged at 60.5, so the early action appears to be moved toward both the Ducks and the under.

The Ducks are 2-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any Pac-12 competition yet. The Cardinal are 1-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play. The Ducks are down 1.0 unit so far and 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Cardinal are down 1.0 unit this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

Stanford enters this contest on a zero-game winning streak while Oregon has lost each of its last zero. The Ducks are coming off a resounding 35-3 win over Montana last week in which Justin Herbert completed 30-of-42 passes for 316 yards and five touchdowns. Travis Dye (101 yards on 17 rushes) mounted the running attack in the win while Johnny Johnson III (eight receptions, 76 yards, two TDs) and Jacob Breeland (five catches, 49 yards, two TDs) manned the receiving duties.

Stanford most recently fell 45-27 to UCF. The defense let the Knights pass for 347 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 198 yards and two scores. Greg McCrae put up a solid showing for UCF, posting 109 rushing yards and a score on 11 attempts. As a group, the Cardinal collectively completed 24-of-49 passes for 233 yards, one touchdown and one interception. K.J. Costello went 21-for-44 for 199 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Davis Mills was three-of-five for 34 yards. Cameron Scarlett (45 yards on 12 rush attempts) and Austin Jones (65 yards on seven carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat as Colby Parkinson (six receptions, 51 yards) and Michael Wilson (five catches, 71 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

Oregon has run the ball on 48.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Stanford has an overall rush percentage of 43.6 percent. The Ducks have produced 186 rush yards/game and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Cardinal are totaling 115 rush yards per contest and have two total rushing TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it appears the Ducks should hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency, since their running backs has produced 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.9 to opponents. The Cardinal have registered 3.8 yards per carry and given up 3.9 YPC to opponents.

The Ducks have averaged 319 yards through the air overall and have 13 passing scores so far. The Cardinal have recorded 234 pass yards per outing and have three total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Oregon appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 99 rush yards and 173 pass yards per game. Stanford has allowed 135.3 yards per game on the ground and 280.3 to opponents in the air. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.47 to opposing QBs, while the Cardinal have given up an ugly 9.15 ANY/A.

Herbert has amassed 558 passing yards this year, and has completed 58-of-79 attempts with six passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Herbert has a pristine 8.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 12.15 over the past two games.

The Ducks will likely try to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Jacob Breeland (75 yards, two TDs), Travis Dye (124 rush yards, 29 receiving yards) and Darrian Felix (47 rush yards, one rush TD, 19 receiving yards) have brought significant production to the offense for Oregon.

In the hosts’ locker room, Davis Mills has recorded 115 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs. Mills’ ANY/A sits at 6.05 for the year and 5.25 over his last two games.

The Cardinal will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Cameron Scarlett (61 receiving yards), Colby Parkinson (89 receiving yards) and Connor Wedington (95 receiving yards) have seen quite a few touches recently.

When these two schools met last year, Stanford won by a touchdown 38-31.

Oregon Ducks at Stanford Cardinal Free Prediction

SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

As a team, Oregon has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its past two matchups.

Stanford has averaged 4.0 YPC over its last two.

Both teams have lost two fumbles this year.

The O/U for Stanford’s last outing was set at 58.5. The over cashed in the 45-27 defeat to UCF.

Over its last three contests, Stanford is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Ducks offense has registered two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cardinal have put up zero such plays.

The Oregon defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40 or more yards, while Stanford has given up two such plays.

The Oregon offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Stanford has created two such runs.

The Ducks defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Cardinal have given up four such runs.

The Oregon defensive unit has 10 sacks on the year while Stanford has just four.

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