In a game that showcases two schools ranked in the Top 25 nationally, the No. 15 SMU Mustangs (+6) are paying a visit to their in-conference counterpart No. 24 Memphis Tigers (-6) at Liberty Bowl Memorial. The game will start at 7:30 p.m. ET and ABC will televise the action.
No. 15 SMU vs. No. 24 Memphis Betting Odds 11/2/2019
The line for this AAC game is placed at 6 points in favor of Memphis. The Mustangs are currently receiving +185 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -230. This AAC matchup should have multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 70 points.
Sharp bettors have been hammering the Tigers, as the opening line was -3. The game’s total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 70.
The Mustangs are 8-0 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 7-1 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this year as the Tigers are ahead 3.1 units and the Mustangs have recorded 9.5 units.
The Mustangs are looking to remain undefeated after a 34-31 victory over Houston last week. The Mustangs defense allowed the Cougars to pass for 407 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 103 yards. On the offense, Shane Buechele completed only 20 passes on 38 attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Xavier Jones (133 yards on 22 rushes, two TDs) led the ground attack while James Proche (seven receptions, 83 yards, one TD) and Kylen Granson (six catches, 76 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Memphis enters this one after just getting a 42-41 win over Tulsa. Brady White completed 15-of-25 passes for 277 yards and two touchdowns. Kenneth Gainwell (149 rushing yards on 24 attempts, three TDs) mounted the running game as Damonte Coxie (five receptions, 112 yards) and Calvin Austin III (three catches, 57 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Breaking down the offensive play selection, each squad sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. SMU has run the ball on 55.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Memphis has an overall rush percentage of 57.3. The Mustangs have rushed for 203 yards per game (including 189 per game against American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 24 scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are averaging 188 rush yards per contest (135 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.
The Mustangs have logged 301 yards/contest in the air overall (306 per game against conference opposition) and have 20 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have produced 283 pass yards per outing (305.8 against AAC foes) and also have 20 total pass scores.
SMU has let opponents rush for an average of 117 yards and pass for 271 yards per game. Memphis has allowed 188.8 yards per game on the ground and 186.3 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Mustangs have given up an ANY/A of 5.52 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are yielding an ANY/A of 5.13.
Buechele is up to 1,868 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 152-of-235 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Buechele has a 7.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.43 over the last two outings.
Reggie Roberson Jr. (553 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns this season), Xavier Jones (779 rush yards, 14 rush TDs, one receiving TD) and James Proche (612 receiving yards, eight TDs) have each played big roles of late.
Brady White has accounted for 1,803 yards, 15 TDs and four INTs for Memphis. His ANY/A sits at 9.60 for the year and 14.35 over his last two outings.
Kenneth Gainwell, Damonte Coxie and Antonio Gibson have collectively accounted for 717 total yards and seven touchdowns the last two games.
When these two teams faced each other last year, Memphis emerged victorious by a score of 28-18.
SMU Mustangs at Memphis Tigers Free Pick
SU Winner – SMU, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The SMU D has 36 sacks on the year while Memphis has just 16.
The Memphis offense has lost nine fumbles this season while SMU has lost four.
The Mustangs offense has tallied 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have accounted for 15 such plays.
The SMU defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Memphis has given up two such plays.
Both teams have produced 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The SMU offense has recorded 37 running plays of 10+ yards while Memphis has accounted for 38 such plays.
The Mustangs defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up 12 such runs.
The Over/Under for Memphis’ last outing was set at 59. The over cashed in the 42-41 victory over Tulsa.
In its last three matches, Memphis is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
In its last three contests, SMU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for SMU’s last game was set at 65. The O/U pushed in the team’s 34-31 win over Houston.
SMU has averaged 3.7 yards per carry across its past three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
Memphis has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.