No. 15 Notre Dame vs. Duke College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


A couple of schools that prefer running the football, Head Coach Brian Kelly and the No. 15 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-8) are ready to face off against the Duke Blue Devils at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and ACC Network will showcase the action.

No. 15 Notre Dame at Duke Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Notre Dame is favored by 8 points in this game. The Fighting Irish are currently being given -340 moneyline odds while the Blue Devils are +260. The over/under has been set at 51.5 points. If one side can catch a lucky break in the early stages, it will probably result in a nice in-game betting opportunity.

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The sharp action has been siding with both the Fighting Irish and the under. The line originally opened at 6 and the game’s total was initially placed at 53.

The Fighting Irish are 6-2 straight up (SU) while the Blue Devils are 4-4 SU. The Fighting Irish are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.9 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.

The Blue Devils have lost 0.6 units this season. They’re 3-3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-2.

The Irish are coming off a 21-20 win over Virginia Tech last week. Ian Book completed just 29 passes on 53 attempts for 341 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Jafar Armstrong (37 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Book (50 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Chase Claypool (eight receptions, 118 yards) and Chris Finke (five catches, 56 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Two weeks ago, North Carolina got the victory against this Duke team by a score of 20-17. Quentin Harris completed 22-of-39 passes for 229 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Deon Jackson (91 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Harris (-9 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running game while Jalon Calhoun (six receptions, 37 yards) and Scott Bracey (five catches, 62 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Notre Dame has run the ball on 51.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has a rush percentage of 56.8 percent. The Fighting Irish have rushed for 161 yards/game and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Devils are putting up 166 rush yards per contest and have 14 total rushing TDs.

The Irish have averaged 256 yards through the air overall and have 20 passing TDs so far. The Blue Devils have recorded 197 pass yards per outing and have 15 total pass scores.

Notre Dame appears to possess an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 164 yards and pass for 181 yards per game. Duke has allowed 145.1 yards per game on the ground and 206.6 to opponents in the air. The Irish are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.59 to opponents, while the Blue Devils have given up a 5.51 ANY/A.

Book has put up 1,760 passing yards this season, and has completed 137-of-224 attempts with 16 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Book has a 7.92 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.84 over the past two outings.

In the other huddle, Quentin Harris has produced 1,412 yards, 12 TDs and five INTs. Harris’ ANY/A stands at 5.87 for the season and 2.56 over his past two games.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Duke Blue Devils Free Pick

SU Winner – Notre Dame, ATS Winner – Notre Dame, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

Duke has lost nine fumbles this season while Notre Dame has lost five.

Each team defense has produced 21 sacks this year.

Notre Dame has produced 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.2 over its last two.

Duke has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.0 over its past two.

Notre Dame has won five of its last six games SU, with an October 26th defeat to Michigan representing the only loss over that span.

Duke has lost four of its last five games SU, with an 18-point victory over Georgia Tech on October 12th representing the only win over that span.


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