In a matchup that showcases a couple of schools ranked in the Top 13 nationally, the No. 13 Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5) are paying a visit to their in-conference nemesis No. 9 Minnesota Golden Gophers at TCF Bank Stadium. This pivotal daytime game will start at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ABC.
No. 13 Wisconsin vs. No. 9 Minnesota Betting Odds 11/30/2019
Wisconsin is giving up 2.5 points in this Big 10 game. The Badgers are currently receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Golden Gophers are +120. The over/under has been set at 48.5 points. On the surface it appears that this game should present some live betting possibilities.
Sharp bettors have been hammering the over. The game’s O/U initially opened at only 47.
The Badgers are 9-2 straight up (SU), including 6-2 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Gophers are 10-1 SU overall and are also 7-1 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this year as the Badgers have gained 4.0 units and the Golden Gophers are ahead 8.9 units.
The Badgers hope to keep things rolling after a 45-24 win over Purdue last week where their secondary allowed the Boilermakers to air it out for 326 yards and three touchdowns. Brycen Hopkins had a productive day for the Boilermakers in that one with 127 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Jack Coan completed 15 passes on 19 attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jonathan Taylor (222 yards on 28 rushes, one TD) and Garrett Groshek (55 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Quintez Cephus (five receptions, 79 yards, one TD) and Kendric Pryor (four catches, 47 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Minnesota is coming off of a 38-22 win over Northwestern. The defense allowed the Wildcats to rush for 128 yards on 49 attempts, including two rush TDs. Riley Lees was a bright spot in the loss, posting 53 yards on three catches for Northwestern. For Minnesota, Tanner Morgan completed 15-of-23 passes for 211 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Rodney Smith (77 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Mohamed Ibrahim (76 yards on 13 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the win while Tyler Johnson (seven receptions, 125 yards, one TD) and Rashod Bateman (seven catches, 78 yards, three TDs) led the pass-catching corps.
Each squad has a nearly identical (66-34) run-pass ratio on the season. The Badgers, however, have rushed for 250 yards per game (including 247 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 31 scores via handoffs this year. The Gophers haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re putting up 185 rushing yards per contest (208 in conference) and have 24 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Badgers might own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has generated 5.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.4 YPC to opponents. The Golden Gophers have rushed for 4.2 yards per carry and allowed 3.7 YPC to opponents.
The Badgers have averaged 191 yards in the air overall (166 per game versus conference opposition) and have 15 passing TDs so far. The Gophers have produced 247 pass yards per outing (252.4 against Big 10 foes) and have 26 total pass scores.
Defensively, Wisconsin has allowed 98 rush yards and 170 pass yards per game. Minnesota has allowed 123.8 rushing yards per game and 176.3 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Badgers have given up an ANY/A of 3.81 to opposing QBs, while the Gophers are allowing an ANY/A of 4.
Coan is up to 1,867 passing yards this year. He’s completed 168-of-228 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Coan has a 7.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.07 over the last two games.
Jonathan Taylor (1,481 rushing yards, 16 rush TDs, four receiving touchdowns this season), Kendric Pryor (62 rush yards, one rush TD, 222 receiving yards) and Quintez Cephus (583 receiving yards, five TDs) have all played big roles lately.
In the hosts’ locker room, Tanner Morgan has recorded 2,311 yards, 25 TDs and five INTs. Morgan’s ANY/A sits at 10.43 for the season and 8.90 over his past two outings.
Tyler Johnson (855 receiving yards, nine receiving touchdowns this season), Rashod Bateman (925 receiving yards, 10 receiving TDs) and Rodney Smith (1,017 rush yards, seven rush TDs) have combined to account for 598 total yards and six touchdowns over the last two games.
When these two teams faced one another last year, Minnesota knocked off Wisconsin easily 37-15.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Prediction
SU Winner – Wisconsin, ATS Winner – Wisconsin, O/U – Under
The Badgers offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Golden Gophers have put up 12 such plays.
The Wisconsin defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Minnesota has given up four such plays.
The Wisconsin offense has created 23 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Minnesota has created 16 such runs.
The Badgers defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Golden Gophers have given up 11 such runs.
The Wisconsin defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 39 times this season. Minnesota has registered just 26 sacks.
As a team, Wisconsin has averaged 7.0 yards per carry across its last three contests and 7.2 over its last two.
Minnesota has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its past two.
In its last three games, Minnesota is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Wisconsin’s last game going into it was 48.5. The over cashed in the team’s 45-24 victory over Purdue.
In its last three matchups, Wisconsin is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for Minnesota’s previous match was 42. The over cashed in the 38-22 triumph over Northwestern.