No. 12 Oregon vs. No. 25 Washington College Football Betting Pick 10/19/19

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The No. 12 Oregon Ducks (-3) are paying a visit to their Pac-12 foe No. 25 Washington Huskies at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. ABC has the TV rights and this pivotal daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 3:30 p.m. ET.

No. 12 Oregon vs. No. 25 Washington Betting Odds 10/19/2019

Oregon is giving up 3 points in this Pac-12 matchup. The Ducks are currently getting -155 moneyline odds while the Huskies are +135. This Pac-12 matchup will likely offer multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 51 points.

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Sharp bettors have been siding with both the Ducks and the over. This opening line was initially set at 2 and the total was originally only 49.5.

The Ducks are 5-1 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against conference opponents. The Huskies are 5-2 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play. The Ducks are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 1-5.

The Huskies have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 7.8 units. The team is 5-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.

The Ducks are coming off a resounding 45-3 victory over Colorado last week. Justin Herbert completed just 18 passes on 32 attempts for 261 yards and two touchdowns. CJ Verdell (171 yards on 14 rush attempts) and Cyrus Habibi-Likio (47 yards on 13 carries, three TDs) led the ground attack in the win while Jaylon Redd (four receptions, 75 yards, one TD) and Mycah Pittman (three catches, 57 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Washington Huskies are coming off of a blowout 51-27 win over Arizona. The defense allowed the Wildcats to run for 151 yards on 39 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. J.J. Taylor was a bright spot in the loss for Arizona, posting 89 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts, along with 37 yards on three catches. For Washington, Jacob Eason completed 15-of-22 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns. Salvon Ahmed (95 yards on 23 rush attempts, three TDs) and Sean McGrew (106 yards on 13 carries) handled the ground game in the win as Aaron Fuller (four receptions, 60 yards, one TD) and Puka Nacua (three catches, 97 yards) led the receiving corps.

Oregon’s run the ball on 51.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 55.9 percent. The Ducks have produced 177 rush yards/game (including 168 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 10 scores via handoffs this year. The Huskies are logging 179 rush yards per contest (169 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then the Ducks might hold an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness, since their backfield has logged 4.9 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.1 to opponents. The Huskies have tallied 4.8 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.

The Ducks have averaged 284 yards through the air overall (249 per game against conference opposition) and have 19 passing scores so far. The Huskies have produced 244 pass yards per outing (197.8 against Pac-12 competition) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Oregon should hold an advantage in both defensive facets. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 108 yards and pass for 160 yards per game. Washington has allowed 146.7 rushing yards per game and 216.9 to opponents in the air. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.64 to opponents, while the Huskies have given up a 4.53 ANY/A.

Herbert is up to 1,388 pass yards on the year. He’s connected on 114-of-161 attempts with 16 passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Herbert has a 9.76 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.04 over the last two games.

The Ducks will likely try to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Jacob Breeland (318 yards, six TDs), CJ Verdell (402 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Travis Dye (207 rush yards) have been focal points in the offense for Oregon.

In the home locker room, Jacob Eason has produced 1,486 yards, 12 TDs and two INTs. Eason’s ANY/A sits at 9.26 for the season and 7.08 across his past two games.

The Huskies also prefer to heavily feature their backfield. In addition to Aaron Fuller (387 receiving yards, five receiving TDs), Salvon Ahmed (494 rush yards, six rush TDs) and Sean McGrew (318 rush yards, one rush TD) have gotten a lot of action lately.

When these two schools faced each other last year, Oregon knocked off Washington by a field goal 30-27.

Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.

The Oregon defense has 21 sacks on the year while Washington has 16.

As a team, Oregon has produced 4.7 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.8 over its last two.

Washington has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its last two.

In its last three matchups, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Oregon’s previous game was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 45-3 victory over Colorado.

Over its last three contests, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Washington’s previous match was set at 62. The over cashed in that 51-27 win over Arizona.

Washington has won five of its last six games SU, with a -10-point loss to Stanford on October 5th representing the lone slip-up over that stretch.

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