NFL Betting — Dolphins Back With FitzMagic at Helm vs. Bills

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Is there something of a moral victory to be achieved out of the Miami Dolphins’ effort last Sunday, when they came within a two-point conversion of scoring an upset of the Washington Redskins?

Probably not from their standpoint, although it might be the best chance they’ll get for a victory of some kind this season.

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After the bitter disappointment of a 17-16 loss to Washington, the Dolphins venture to Orchard Park, where they’ll face the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field in a 1 PM ET Sunday start.

Regionally, this will be televised on CBS, and that means BetAnySports patrons can watch it and place wagers as the action progresses, thanks to Live Betting Ultra.

And here are the NFL betting lines on this AFC game, which include reduced juice:

Buffalo Bills -17 (-105)
Miami Dolphins +17 (-105)

Over 41 points (-108)
Under 41 points (-102)

It’s been a confusing and awkward week around the Dolphins’ camp. Try to follow us here – first-year head coach Brian Flores had previously announced that Josh Rosen would be his quarterback for the rest of the season. But then Ryan Fitzpatrick complicated things by coming off the bench to lead the Dolphins on a pair of touchdown drives – their first second-half TD’s of the season – to nearly win it vs. the Redskins.

After the game, Flores reiterates that Rosen is his starter. Then a couple of days later he changes his mind and says that Fitzpatrick will be the starter on Sunday. And he’s also said that he has seen enough of Rosen to evaluate him, and so forth.

The message would seem to be clear that Rosen is not going to get the chance to show the Dolphins that he can be their guy going forward, simply because they’re not crazy about him as a passer or an individual. Or it could be that regardless of the outcome, the team is hell-bent on taking a QB with what could be the first pick in the draft. Either way, Rosen might have been the latest guy to call his agent and ask about a deal to another team. The NFL trade deadline is October 29.

The feeling on the part of some of the players, as it had been reported, is that Flores, one of those ex-assistants who was supposed to sprinkle some of the “magic dust” he may have picked up from a successful situation (in this case, New England), is in over his head in this job.

And Drew Rosenhaus sounded off about the play call on the failed two-point conversion that basically ended things.

It’s not a big secret that when word surfaced that some players wanted out of Miami after the disastrous season opener, they included some of his clients.

Rosenhaus is kind of unique among agents in that he takes a regular turn at a local TV station as a commentator. And in the aftermath of Sunday’s loss, in which a bold decision had been made that determined the outcome, His tone was less then enthusiastic about the dropped pass to Kenyan Drake that would not have succeeded even if he caught it, opining that these guys had worked too hard to have it decided that way. Undoubtedly he was echoing the feelings of some of these Miami players. So that might serve as a barometer as to the mood.

Well, at least they know what they can do against another bad team.

Frank Gore continues to chug along. The running back has defied the odds by lasting 14 years in the NFL, and he has amassed the kind of numbers that could land him in Canton with a Hall of Fame bust one day. And he is Buffalo’s leading rusher with 333 yards (4.4 ypc). It’s interesting that Gore has been around so long that Flores actually played against him in the collegiate ranks when he was at Boston College.

And now the Bills could have a deeper backfield as rookie Devin Singletary, who led the nation in rushing TD’s a couple of seasons ago, returns from a hamstring ailment. Singletary has carried ten times for 127 yards – a 12.7-yard average.

You can’t possibly be all the way sold on Josh Allen just yet, as he has thrown too many interceptions (seven). His QB rating isn’t stellar (75.2). But he’s got more at his disposal, including a better offensive line.

But the real “star” of the Bills is the defense. How good is it? Well, here is the way they stack up in a number of categories:

Yards allowed per game – 3rd
Points allowed per drive — 2nd
Time of possession per drive — 3rd
Punt frequency — 1st
Three-and-out frequency — 1st
Yards per pass attempt allowed — 3rd
Passing yards per game allowed — 3rd
Opponents’ third down conversion rate — 5th

Okay, you get the picture. And lest you accuse them of playing only pansies, they held Tom Brady to his lowest quarterback rating in 13 years when they lost a nail-biter to New England.

Yeah, they’re pretty good.

Good enough, in fact, that I’m not sure Miami can score a touchdown, even with their quarterback change. But the Bills aren’t a team that can run and hide from a lot of teams either.

That’s why I prefer to go “under” the total here.

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