New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick 09/25/19

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DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. YES Network will be showing the action and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Rays are 94-64 straight up (SU) and 80-77 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 7.3 units ATS. The Yankees have gone 102-56 SU this year and are 91-66 against the spread. They’re up 19.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 25.4 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have a 78-71-8 over/under record in 2019. New York has also been a good over bet with a total record of 83-69-5.

Jonathan Loaisiga will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Loaisiga is 2-1 with a 4.25 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rays this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over six innings).

The Rays will turn to righty Charlie Morton (15-6, 3.15 ERA), who has 231 strikeouts and 54 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Morton is 1-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.28 ERA over three starts against New York this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.67 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 72 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.17.

Tampa Bay’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .229/.307/.419 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Austin Meadows and Tommy Pham have paced the Rays’ batters this year. Meadows is slashing .293/.365/.561 with 32 home runs, 88 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Pham’s line sits at .273/.368/.446 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs, 75 runs and 23 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.01, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 10.22.

The Yankees offense has slashed .268/.341/.491 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s offense. LeMahieu is hitting .328/.376/.520 with 26 home runs, 99 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .281/.340/.541 with 38 homers, 90 RBIs and 96 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 14.1 units and are 60-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.

The Yankees have a total OPS of .832 this season and an OPS of .824 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .761 against righties.

The Rays have won five of their last six games SU.

New York has posted 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.2 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

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