New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Free Pick 09/27/19

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Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers are prepared to battle against the New York Yankees at Globe Life Park. This AL showdown will begin at 8:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Southwest will broadcast the game.

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Vegas is listing Texas (+230) as the underdog to New York (-260). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 11 runs and -110 for under 11. This game currently has a runline of Yankees -1.5 (-165) and Rangers +1.5 (+145).

The Rangers are 84-74 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 76-83 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, gaining 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.4 units ATS. The Yankees have gone 102-57 SU this year and are 92-67 against the spread. They’re up 17.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 24.9 units ATS.

Texas games have a 72-83-3 over/under record in 2019. The Yankees have been a good over bet with a total record of 83-71-5.

Left-hander James Paxton is projected to start for New York. Paxton is 15-6 with a 3.73 ERA and 185 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Texas this year.

The Rangers are putting the ball in the left hand of Joe Palumbo (0-2, 9.22 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.68 WHIP. Palumbo hasn’t faced the Yankees yet this year and did not accrue any MLB appearances in 2018.

As a unit, Texas’ pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.40 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Texas offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.358/.547 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rangers’ hitters have been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. Andrus is slashing .274/.311/.395 with 12 home runs, 72 RBIs, 79 runs and 29 stolen bases, while Choo is hitting .264 with 23 homers, 59 RBIs and 88 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Yankees offense has slashed .267/.341/.489 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .328/.376/.519 with 26 home runs, 99 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Torres (.279/.338/.537) has produced 38 homers, 90 RBIs and 96 runs scored.

New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

New York has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Texas has 21 XBH over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rangers have hit 15 over their last 10.

The Yankees have a total OPS of .829 this season, including an OPS of .845 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .750 overall and .733 against lefties.

The New York defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Texas over its last 10.