New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Betting Pick 10/07/19

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A series sweep is on the line as the Minnesota Twins are playing host to the New York Yankees in Game 3 of the MLB Divisional Playoffs. The visiting Yankees (up 2-0) are just one win away from reaching the ALCS. The matchup is scheduled to begin at 8:40 p.m. ET and will be shown nationally on Fox Sports One.

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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

New York (-135) is favored over Minnesota (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +110 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -130 for the Twins +1.5.

Including the regular season, the Twins are 101-63 straight up (SU) and 90-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees have gone 105-59 SU this year and are 95-69 against the spread. They’ve gained 15.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 25.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 83-76-5 in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 87 times, gone under 72 times and pushed on five occasions.

The right-handed Luis Severino is projected to start for the visiting Yankees. Severino is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 1.59 ERA and five strikeouts across five and two-third innings).

The Twins are countering with Jake Odorizzi (15-7, 3.51 ERA). Odorizzi has 178 strikeouts and 53 walks, along with a 1.21 WHIP. Odorizzi is 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and an 8.10 ERA over two starts against New York this year.

Fueled by a team slash line of .297/.451/.516, New York has averaged 9.0 runs scored through two postseason games. Minnesota is hitting .197/.284/.394 over two games and the team has managed 3.0 runs in the 2019 playoffs.

The Twins bullpen (13.0 K/9) has registered an ERA of 9.90 and a WHIP of 2.00 this postseason, while Yankees relievers (10.8 K/9) have performed significantly better with a 2.16 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have paced New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .329/.377/.525 with 27 home runs, 106 RBIs and 113 runs scored, while Torres (.278/.337/.532) has produced 38 homers, 93 RBIs and 98 runs scored.

The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is slashing .295/.359/.488 with 23 home runs, 81 RBIs and 108 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .273/.297/.494 with 32 homers, 109 RBIs and 91 runs.

The Yankees are coming off of an 8-2 win in Game .

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

New York has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Minnesota has 20 XBH over its last five.

New York has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.2 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 17 home runs over their last 10 games.

The Yankees have a total OPS of .832 this season and an OPS of .821 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .832 overall and .817 versus righties.

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