The Washington Wizards (23-40) will be at home in Capital One Arena when they go head-to-head against the New York Knicks (20-44). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 227 points with Washington opening as a 3.5-point favorite. Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.
New York Knicks at Washington Wizards ATS Preview
In the Knicks’ last game, they beat the Detroit Pistons, 96-84, covering as 6-point favorites. Julius Randle was the top scorer from either team with 22 points on 7-for-14 shooting. New York dominated every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 26.0) and a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 12.2). For those same stats, Detroit recorded marks of 11.6 and 10.9, respectively. The two teams combined to score 180 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 211.5.
The Wizards are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 5.5-point underdogs in their 100-89 loss to the Miami Heat in their last outing. Shabazz Napier was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 6-for-14 shooting. Miami held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.9 (below their season average of 22.2). Washington, on the other hand, forced the Heat into a turnover percentage of 20.3 (above their season average of 12.6). The two clubs collectively scored 189 points, which was well under the projected point total of 233.5.
It will be a matchup of opposite styles as the fast-paced Wizards (ranked sixth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Knicks (20th in possessions per game). Also, the Knicks rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.0 percent), while the Wizards rank 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.8 percent).
Of New York’s 64 games, 35 have finished under the projected point total, while 36 of Washington’s 63 games have finished over the O/U total. The Wizards have the superior straight up (SU) record (23-40 vs. 20-44), but both teams are right around the .500 mark against the spread (ATS).
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Knicks, it’s been RJ Barrett, who has averaged 18 points,4.2 assists, while the Wizards have received great contributions from Davis Bertans (18 points).
These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Wizards winning three of them. Bradley Beal scored a game-high 30 points in the most recent contest, in which the Wizards, who were 3-point underdogs, beat the Knicks 114-96. The two teams combined for 210 points, which was 18 points below the projected point total of 228 points. The Wizards played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.7 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.536. For those same stats, the Knicks were 16.6 and 0.426, respectively.
Knicks at Wizards ATS Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under
The Wizards rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while the Knicks rank 24th (15.5).
Washington ranks 15th in fast break points per game (13.2) while New York ranks 28th (9.2).
Washington ranks 12th in assists per game (25.4) while New York ranks 28th (21.8).
New York is 16-14-1 ATS on the road with 16 overs and 15 unders.
Washington is 17-14 ATS at home with 15 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Washington is 4-0 and New York is 8-3.
When reaching the century mark, the Wizards are 21-37 and the Knicks are 16-28.
The Wizards rank 16th in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Knicks rank 29th (28.5).
New York ranks first in second chance points per game (15.3). Washington ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
The Knicks rank seventh in rebounds per game (46.7) while the Wizards rank last (41.8).
The Knicks average 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 18th in the league. The Wizards rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
New York ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.8) while Washington ranks 25th (51.7).
Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, New York is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 4.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.2 above their season average).