New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Week 17 Betting Pick


In the final week of the 2019 regular season, the Buffalo Bills (-1) are ready to welcome the New York Jets at New Era Field. CBS is scheduled to televise the action and kickoff for this AFC East showdown is set for 1:00 p.m. ET.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Betting Odds 12/29/2019

The spread for this AFC game is sitting at 1 point in favor of Buffalo. The Jets are currently receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Bills are -115. This AFC tilt could offer several in-game betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 37 points.

Odds have moved from when they were first posted. The opening line was -5 and the game’s over/under has not moved after it was initially established at 37.

The Jets are 6-9 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against AFC East opponents. The Bills are 10-5 SU overall and 3-2 SU against divisional foes. The Jets are 6-9 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.1 units so far in 2019. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-8.

The surprising Bills are up 5.7 units this season. The team is 9-4-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-11.

The Jets enter after a 16-10 victory over Pittsburgh in Week 16 in which Sam Darnold completed 16 passes for just 183 yards and one touchdown. Le’Veon Bell (72 rushing yards on 25 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Jamison Crowder (four receptions, 60 yards) and Bell (four catches, 21 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 16, New England knocked off this Buffalo team by a score of 24-17. The Bills defense allowed the Patriots to kill the clock by running for 143 yards on 35 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Sony Michel had a good outing in the win, posting 96 rushing yards on 21 attempts for New England. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 13-of-26 passes for 208 yards and two touchdowns. Devin Singletary (46 rushing yards on 15 attempts) mounted the running attack as Cole Beasley (seven receptions, 108 yards) and Isaiah McKenzie (two catches, 11 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

New York has run the ball on 42.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Jets have produced 78 rush yards per game (including 76 per game against East opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bills are putting up 132 rushing yards per contest (128 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Bills ought to hold an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has allowed just 39 sacks while their D-line has registered 42 sacks. The Jets offensive line has given up 50 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just 34 times.

The Jets have averaged 216 yards through the air overall (178 per game against conference opposition) and have 18 passing scores so far. The Bills have recorded 216 pass yards per outing (240.0 in the AFC) and have 21 total pass TDs.

New York has let opponents run for an average of 88 yards and pass for 251 yards per game. Buffalo has allowed 104.2 yards per game on the ground and 214.8 to opponents in the air. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.71 to opposing QBs, while the Jets have allowed a 6.21 ANY/A.

Darnold is up to 2,607 passing yards this season. He’s completed 232-of-373 attempts with 16 passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Darnold’s got a 5.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.49 over the last two outings.

Josh Allen has recorded 2,945 yards, 19 TDs and eight INTs for Buffalo. His ANY/A stands at 5.85 for the year and 5.75 over his last two games.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Free Betting Pick

SU Winner – Bills, ATS Winner – Bills, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Buffalo offense has lost six fumbles this season while New York has let nine get away.

The Buffalo defensive unit has recorded 42 sacks on the year while New York has just 34.

New York has produced 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.

Buffalo has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its past two.

Over its last three matches, Buffalo is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for New York’s last game was set at 36.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-10 victory over Pittsburgh.

Over its last three matches, New York is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Buffalo’s previous outing was 39. The over cashed in that 24-17 defeat to New England.