Home NHL Free NHL Picks New York Islanders vs. St. Louis Blues Betting Pick 2/27/20

New York Islanders vs. St. Louis Blues Betting Pick 2/27/20

A couple of teams that’ve positioned themselves squarely in the playoff hunt, the New York Islanders and the St. Louis Blues clash at the Enterprise Center. The action will get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 27, and fans at home will be able to view this East-West matchup live on Fox Sports Midwest.

New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues Odds

St. Louis (-170) is currently favored over New York (+150), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total sit at -120 under, +100 over.

The Blues are 37-27 straight up (SU) and have earned moneyline bettors 2.9 units this year. That win percentage, the third-best in the Central Division so far in this young season, is fairly close to what the team posted during the 2018-19 season (45-37). Through 64 regular season outings, 32 of its games have gone over the total, while 30 have gone under and just two have pushed. The team is 21-11 SU at home this year.

St. Louis currently has the third-strongest power-play unit in the NHL, as it has scored on 24.1 percent of their extra-man opportunities this year. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated 18th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 80.0 percent of all penalties.

As a collective unit, St. Louis has been penalized 3.4 times per game overall this season, and 4.2 per game over its last five home outings. The team’s had to kill penalties for just 8.4 minutes per game over its last five matchups, overall.

Sporting a .911 save percentage and 26.2 saves per game, Jordan Binnington (28-18-7) has been the primary option in goal for the Blues this year. If head coach Craig Berube decides to rest him, however, the Blue Notes might roll with Jake Allen (9-12-12 record, .923 save percentage, 2.29 goals against average).

The Blue Notes will continue relying on leadership out of David Perron and Ryan O’Reilly. Perron (59 points) has tallied 24 goals and 35 assists and has recorded multiple points 11 times this year. O’Reilly has 12 goals and 44 assists to his name and has recorded at least one point in 35 games.

On the visiting bench, New York is 35-27 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 4.5 units this season. Through 62 regular season matches, 34 of its games have gone under the total, while 25 have gone over and just three have pushed. As a road team, New York is 15-15 SU.

New York has converted on 17.8 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 16th overall and it’s successfully killed off 80.6 percent of all opponent power plays.

New York’s players have been penalized 3.3 times per game this season, and 2.7 per game over their past ten outings. The team has been forced to kill penalties just 7.7 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Semyon Varlamov (.918 save percentage and 2.51 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for New York. Varlamov is averaging 26.2 saves per game and has 20 wins, 21 losses, and five overtime losses to his credit.

Mathew Barzal (18 goals, 36 assists) has been one of the primary offensive playmakers for the visiting Islanders.

New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues Betting Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Blues, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

Four of New York’s last five games have gone under the total.

New York has managed 27.8 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while St. Louis is averaging 34.6 shots per game over its last five home outings.

Penalties and power plays may have a key role tonight. The Islanders are 6-9 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 23-18 when they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Blues are 15-7 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 29-18 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.

New York is 3-2 in games decided by a shootout this season while St. Louis is 1-3 in shootouts.

St. Louis has forced 8.6 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 7.6 takeaways per game (ranked 15th overall).

New York is ranked 18th overall with 7.2 takeaways per game. That figure has trended lower lately, however, as it has averaged 5.4 takeaways over its last 10 games and 5.6 takeaways over its last five.

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