Looking to win big? The Islanders and Red Wings face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Red Wings are hosting the game at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI. The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Red Wings being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Islanders.


The Pick: Detroit Red Wings -1.5

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 21st.


  • The Red Wings enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
  • Take the Red Wings on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Islanders (+1.5)

Can New York Pull Off A Win at Little Caesars Arena?

On the season, the Islanders have struggled, going 29-24-15 overall and 18-21 against the Eastern Conference. They are currently in 10th place in the conference and sit 5th in the Metropolitan Division. Over their last ten games, New York is just 5-5 and have dropped five straight games.

As the underdog, the Islanders have gone 14-13-9 this season and are 36-32 when not favored. On the road, they have lost three straight games and are 14-15-5 for the year.

On the road this season, the Islanders have gone 19-15 vs. the puck line. Overall, their puck line record is 33-35, and they have been the underdog in 36 games.

So far, New York has lost five straight games vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin as the underdog is -.7 goals per game. In their last 10 road games, the Islanders have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring New York is 6.3. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6. The Islanders come in with an over/under record of 37-27-4.

In their last three games away from home, the Islanders have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 0 goals per game in these contests.

On offense, the Islanders are averaging 3 goals per game which is 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. In terms of the Islanders’ offense during power plays, they are 17th in power play goals and 6th in shorthanded goals.

New York’s leading scorer is Bo Horvat. So far, he has 29 goals which is 25th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Horvat has 33 assists this season.

Detroit defense takes on the Islanders ranked 5th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.2 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 15th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Ilya Sorokin gets the start and has made 49 starts this season. His record at this point is 22-17, and his save percentage is 1.0%.

Will Detroit Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At home this season, the Red Wings have gone 20-11-5 and have won two straight games. Against the Eastern Conference, Detroit is 19-19 and 8th in the standings. Overall, their record is 35-28-6, and they are 5th in the Atlantic Division.

As the favorite this season, the Red Wings have gone 15-5-4 and have been favored in 24 of their 69 games. Over their last ten games, Detroit has gone just 2-8 and are 2-3 in their last five games.

At home this season, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 20-16, and their average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game. So far, Detroit has gone 37-32 against the puck line.

Across their last ten home games, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 5-5, and their puck line record as the favorite is just 8-16. In their last ten games overall, Detroit’s puck line mark is just 1-9.

This season, Detroit’s games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Red Wings come in with an over/under performance of 39-30-0.

Through their last three road games, New York has an puck line record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 0 goals per game.

The Red Wings come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 8th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. So far this year, the Red Wings are 11-8 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 23-19 in games with fewer shots on goal.

Detroit’s current leading scorer is Dylan Larkin. This season, he has 26 goals, which puts him 37th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 28 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Red Wings head into the game ranked 5th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.2 shots per game against Detroit. So far, they are 15th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie James Reimer has started 16 games this season. His current record stands at 8-7, and his save percentage is 0.518%.