New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Week 17 Betting Pick

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To conclude the 2019 regular season, the Carolina Panthers are getting 13 points when they play host to their NFC South foe New Orleans Saints to Bank of America Stadium. FOX has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get going at 1:00 p.m. ET.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers Betting Odds 12/29/2019

This NFC game’s line is placed at 13 points in favor of New Orleans. The Saints are currently being given -800 moneyline odds while the Panthers are +500. Multiple good live betting opportunities may be unveiled during this showdown, and the over/under (O/U) has been placed at 48 points.

Square bettors are siding with the Saints, as the opening line was 10.5. The total hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 48.

The Saints are 12-3 straight up (SU), including 4-1 SU against NFC South opponents. The Panthers are 5-10 SU overall and 1-4 SU against divisional foes. The Saints are 10-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.1 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 8-7.

The Panthers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 10.5 units. The team is 6-8-1 ATS and the over’s hit in 10 of its games.

Carolina enters this contest on a zero-game winning streak while New Orleans has lost zero straight. The Saints just notched a 38-28 victory over Tennessee last week. The passing game was sharp as Drew Brees completed 27 passes on 38 attempts for 279 yards and three touchdowns. Alvin Kamara (80 rushing yards on 11 attempts, two TDs) led the running attack while Michael Thomas (12 receptions, 136 yards, one TD) and Kamara (six catches, 30 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 16, Indianapolis knocked off this Carolina crew by a score of 38-6. Will Grier completed 27-of-44 passes for 224 yards and three interceptions. Christian McCaffrey (54 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the running game as McCaffrey (15 receptions, 119 yards) and Ian Thomas (three catches, 16 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

When looking at offensive play selection, each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. New Orleans has run the ball on 40.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 38.7. The Saints have produced 108 rush yards/game (including 97 per game versus South opponents) and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are totaling 119 rush yards per contest (79 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Saints ought to hold an advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up just 20 sacks while their D-line registered 49 sacks. The Panthers, on the other hand, have given up 32 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 35 times.

The Saints have tallied 278 yards per contest through the air overall (274 per game against conference opposition) and have 33 passing scores so far. The Panthers have put up 256 pass yards per game (286.8 against NFC foes) and have 17 total pass TDs.

New Orleans has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 95 yards and throw for 260 yards per game. Carolina has allowed 145.4 rushing yards per game and 248.7 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Saints have given up an ANY/A of 6.01 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers are yielding an ANY/A of 5.6.

Brees has amassed 2,419 passing yards this year, and has connected on 233-of-318 attempts with 20 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Brees has a 7.73 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.89 over the past two games.

Kyle Allen has tallied 3,027 yards, 17 TDs and 15 INTs for Carolina. His ANY/A sits at a less-than-stellar 4.66 for the year and 3.67 over his past two games.

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Saints, ATS Winner – Panthers, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Saints offense has tallied eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Panthers have accounted for six such plays.

The New Orleans defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Carolina has given up five such plays.

The New Orleans offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Carolina has created seven such runs.

The Saints defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Panthers have given up 22 such runs.

The Carolina defense has sacked opposing QBs 52 times this year. New Orleans has produced 49 sacks.

New Orleans has rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt across its last three games and 3.9 over its last two.

Carolina has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its past two.

Over its last three matchups, Carolina is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for New Orleans’ last game going into it was 47.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-28 win over Tennessee.

Over its last three contests, New Orleans is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Carolina’s last game was 47. The under cashed in the 38-6 defeat to Indianapolis.

New Orleans has won six of its last seven games SU, with a two-point loss to San Francisco on December 8th accounting for the only slip-up over that span.

Carolina has lost nine of its last 10 games SU, with a 10-point triumph over Tennessee on November 3rd representing the one win over that span.

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