The Portland Trail Blazers (25-31) look to continue a five-game home winning streak when they clash with the New Orleans Pelicans (23-32) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. New Orleans opened as a 3-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 235.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 21, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN.
New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Preview
The Pelicans lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last matchup, 123-118, despite being 3.5-point favorites. With 32 points on 11-for-19 shooting, Zion Williamson was the top scorer from either team. Oklahoma City had a turnover percentage of 6.4 (better than their season average of 11.9). New Orleans, meanwhile, held the Thunder to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.6 (below their season average of 19.6). The two teams combined to score 241 points, which finished over the O/U total of 233.5.
The last time the Trail Blazers were in action, they were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 111-104, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. With 20 points, 10 assists and five rebounds, Portland’s Damian Lillard played well. Memphis held the Trail Blazers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.438 (below their season average of 0.526). Portland, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (19-24; 79.2 percent). The two clubs collectively scored 215 points, which was well under the O/U total of 234.5.
These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Pelicans winning all three. Williamson scored a game-high 31 points in the most recent game, in which the Pelicans defeated the Trail Blazers 138-117, covering as 3-point favorites. He also put up nine rebounds and five assists. The two teams combined for 255 points, which was 15 points above the projected point total of 240 points. The Pelicans dominated every stat category in the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 and a solid free throw rate of 0.283. For those same stats, the Trail Blazers recorded marks of 25.0 and 0.237, respectively.
Of New Orleans’ 55 games, 32 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Portland’s 56 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (23-32 for New Orleans; 25-31 for Portland), but the Pelicans have the advantage against the spread (ATS). New Orleans is 26-25-4 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 23-31-2.
Portland should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Portland ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while New Orleans forces the sixth-fewest turnovers (12.8 percent).
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
The Pelicans rank fifth in rebounds per game (46.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.1).
New Orleans averages 38.1 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Portland ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (35.0).
New Orleans averages 14.1 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Portland ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.8).
New Orleans averages 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Portland ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
New Orleans is 12-11-4 ATS on the road with 16 overs and 11 unders.
Portland is 11-14-1 ATS at home with 16 overs and 10 unders.
New Orleans is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
The Pelicans are 23-29 when they score over 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 25-24.
The Pelicans average 16.5 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while New Orleans ranks 28th (19.2).
The Pelicans rank fifth in assists per game (26.3) while the Trail Blazers rank last (20.0).
The Pelicans rank 14th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (44.0).
Portland ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while New Orleans ranks 28th (8.4).
Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, New Orleans is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Trail Blazers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 1.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 122.6 points per game (6.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average).