The New York Knicks (10-28) will be at home in Madison Square Garden when they take on the New Orleans Pelicans (13-25). Action starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN.
New Orleans Pelicans at New York Knicks ATS Preview
The Pelicans were victorious over the Chicago Bulls in their last contest, 123-108, comfortably covering as 3-point favorites. Brandon Ingram led New Orleans in scoring with 29 points on 7-for-19 shooting. New Orleans dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.299 (above their season average of 0.170) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.3 (above their season average of 23.0). Chicago recorded marks of 0.130 and 20.8, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 231 points, which was over the projected point total of 223.5.
In the Knicks’ last game, they were blown out by the Utah Jazz, 128-104, and were not able to cover as 13.5-point underdogs. With 13 points, 13 rebounds and six assists, New York’s Bobby Portis put together a good performance. Utah’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over New York. The Jazz had a rate of 0.156 (below their season average of 0.214), while the Knicks posted a mark of 0.113 (below their season average of 0.186). The two clubs combined to score 232 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 213.5.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Knicks won the most recent contest 114-109. The Knicks played a nearly flawless game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 7.2 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.516. The Pelicans had marks of 11.0 and 0.431, respectively, for those same stats.
Of New Orleans’ 38 games, 20 have finished over the O/U total, while 22 of New York’s 38 games have finished under the projected point total. The Pelicans have the better straight up (SU) record (13-25 vs. 10-28), but the Knicks hold the significant advantage against the spread (ATS) (18-19-1 vs. 16-19-3).
It will be a matchup of conflicting paces as the up-and-down Pelicans will look to push the more grind-it-out Knicks. The Pelicans currently rank sixth in possessions per game while the Knicks are 19th.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. New York Knicks Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
The Knicks rank second in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Pelicans rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
New York ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1) while New Orleans ranks 25th (18.5).
New Orleans ranks 10th in assists per game (25.0) while New York ranks 28th (20.9).
New Orleans ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.0) while New York ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
New Orleans is 7-9-3 ATS on the road with 10 overs and 9 unders.
New York is 7-9-1 ATS at home with 12 unders and 5 overs.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and New York is 3-1.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Knicks are 9-18 and the Pelicans are 13-22.
The Knicks rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pelicans rank 16th (7.8).
New Orleans ranks fourth in fast break points per game (16.3) while New York ranks 28th (10.2).
The Knicks rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while the Pelicans rank 26th (51.1).
The Pelicans rank 14th in rebounds per game (45.7) while the Knicks rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.8) while New York ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.3).
New York is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its past five games, New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS with 5 overs.
The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 8.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 121.2 points per game (8.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average).