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At 7:00 ET, the Aggies and Flames clash at Williams Stadium (VA) for a week 14 NCAAF matchup. Catch the action on CBSS, with the game set for Friday, December 1st. The odds for this week 14 Conference USA matchup have the Flames as the 10.5 point favorites at home. Are they a lock to cover vs. the Aggies? Read on to find out.

NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS LIBERTY FLAMES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +10.5

This game will be played at Williams Stadium (VA) at 7:00 ET on Friday, December 1st.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 32-22 in favor of Liberty.
  • Even though we have Liberty winning straight-up, we like New Mexico State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 53.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 54 points.

Can the Aggies Offense Score Enough in Lynchburg?

So far, the New Mexico State Aggies are 10-3, including going 5-2 on the road and 2-1 at home.

Heading into this week's matchup with Liberty, the Aggies have been favored in four games and the underdog in six. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 8-2.

Through 13 games, the average over/under line in New Mexico State's games is 51.5 points. Their games have averaged a combined 47.9 points leading to an OU record of 3-7.

On offense, the Aggies come in with the 71st ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 217.4 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 29th in terms of attempts.

New Mexico State's defense ranks 76th in points allowed, with 19.7 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 235.8 passing yards against them (110th nationally). On the ground, they've conceded 126.8 rushing yards, putting them 45th in college football.

Do the Flames Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Liberty carries a 12-0 record into this week's game. This season, they've had four away games and six home contests.

For the season, Liberty's ATS record is > and they have been the favorite in every game so far.

Across 12 games, the average over/under line in Liberty's matchups is 57 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 61.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-3.

Liberty's offense has put up an average of 40.1 points per game, placing them 5th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they've gained 203.1 passing yards on average, ranking 92nd in the nation. On the ground, they're holding the 1st position in rushing yards, with 584 rushing attempts per game this season.

So far this season, the Flames' defense has given up 107.7 rushing yards per game against the run (190th). Opponents are averaging 237 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 73.9 against Liberty. In terms of points allowed, they are 78th in the NCAA.