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The Lobos and Wolf Pack are set to face off at 11:00 ET on CBSS. The Wolf Pack will host the game at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 155 points, and Nevada is favored by -3 to win at home against New Mexico.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK

The Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack -3

This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 11:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.

WHY BET THE NEVADA WOLF PACK:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
  • Not only will Nevada pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Lobos Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Despite being the underdog in just two games this season, New Mexico has yet to come out on top in either of those contests. The Lobos' overall record is 19-5, with a 6-4 mark in Mountain West play. On the road, New Mexico is 7-3, and they have won their last three games away from home.

In their most recent game, the Lobos fell to UNLV by a score of 80-77. Over their last 10 road games, New Mexico has gone 7-3, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is +8.5 points per game.

As the underdog, New Mexico has gone 0-3 against the spread in their last three games and 1-3-1 in their last five games as the underdog. For the season, the Lobos have an ATS record of 15-7 and are 6-4 vs. the spread on the road. In their last three road games, New Mexico is 3-0 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 12-10. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 153.5 points, which is similar to the average over/under line of 153.2. Today's line of 155 is close to that average, and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points.

Compared to their season average of 84.1 points per game, New Mexico struggled in their previous game. Against UNLV, the Lobos scored 77 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 35.4%. Leading New Mexico in scoring vs. UNLV was Donovan Dent with his 20 points. Jaelen House also added 20 points for the Lobos.

The Lobos' defense is presently ranked 121st nationally, allowing an average of 70.1 points per contest. New Mexico will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UNLV to just 35% shooting in their most recent game.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Wolf Pack?

At 19-5, Nevada is coming off a 77-63 win over Utah State, and they have won two straight games. At home, the Wolf Pack are 11-1 this season, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, they are 15-3 when favored.

On the other hand, New Mexico is 5-4 in Mountain West Conference games this season. Through 24 games, Nevada has gone 14-1 in non-conference games. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +18.6 at home, compared to +1.5 on the road.

As the favorite, Nevada has an ATS record of 11-7 this season and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Wolf Pack have an ATS mark of 7-5 this year and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games. Overall, Nevada has an ATS record of 14-9 this season.

Today's over/under line of 155 for the Nevada Wolf Pack's game against New Mexico is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (143.7). This year, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.

In their latest game, Nevada offense put up 77 points against Utah State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.9% and made 4 threes. The team's top scorer is Jarod Lucas, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 16.9, while Kenan Blackshear also maintains a PPG average of 15.9 leading up to the game.

So far, the Wolf Pack's defense is ranked 43rd in the country at 66.1 points per contest. In today's game, the Nevada defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 63 points.