NCAAB – Trends of the Day 03/25/2018

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NCAAB – TRENDS OF THE DAY

Today we’ll find out the final two contestants in this year’s Final Four Tournament that will take place in San Antonio starting April 2. You can get full coverage of these matchups here, but we’ll also try to examine and identify the most significant tendencies of squads involved in order to point you in the right direction. The 2017-18 NCAAB season is reaching its peak with all postseason tournaments set for the conclusion during next 10 days. It has been a great ride so far but like all good things, it has to end at one point of the time, and the end of the month of March and the beginning of the month of April does it for college basketball.

Here are the NCAA Tournament regional finals that are on the menu today: Texas Tech (27-9) vs. Villanova (33-4), Duke (29-7) vs. Kansas (30-7).

ATS TRENDS

  • The Wildcats are 9-2 in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games.

The Villanova Wildcats will square off with the Texas Tech Raiders for the East Region title game and the ATS line favors them at 6.5 points, the biggest spread of all Elite Eight matchups. Still, this shouldn’t present any problems for the high-flying Wildcats who are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and 22-8 ATS in their last 28 matchups vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The Red Raiders on the other side are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. Big Eats and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Pick the Wildcats.           

  • The Jayhawks are 8-2-1 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Midwest region final game features two top-seeded teams, Duke Blue Devils (No. 2) and Kansas Jayhawks (No. 1). Still, the ATS line favors the Blue Devils at 3.0 points, giving the ATS edge to Kansas. The Jayhawks are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. Atlantic Coast Conference, but the most important detail of this matchup is the fact that the Blue Devils stand at 1-4 ATS in their last five H2H duels with the Jayhawks, Pick Kansas.     

O/U TRENDS 

  • Over is 7-2 in Red Raiders last nine overall.

The Red Raiders/Wildcats duel also holds a strong high-scoring tendency. Both teams feature a number of hot “Over” trends including the fact that the Wildcats are 12-3 O/U in last 15 games following a straight-up win. They are also 21-8 in their last 29 overall and 5-2 in last seven NCAA Tournament matchups. The Red Raiders on the other side also stand at 5-2 O/U in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The line is set at 143.0 points which is actually very acceptable, making the “Over” pick a near mismatch.

  • Over is 12-2 in Blue Devils last 14 non-conference games.

The matchup between the Blue Devils and the Jayhawks also holds a strong high-scoring tendency. The line here is set at 146.0 points currently but it might fluctuate before the game starts. Still, the overreach shouldn’t come in question as Blue Devils also stand at 8-2 O/U in their last 10 neutral site games and 7-3 in their last 10 showdowns vs. Big 12. The Jayhawks on the other side are 6-1 O/U in their last seven vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 4-1 O/U in their last five games following a straight-up win, and 4-1 O/U in their last five games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Pick Over.