NCAA Championship Props — Could Michigan Put Villanova in “Triple” Jeopardy?


As VietBet customers watched the Villanova Wildcats beat up the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday, you saw a pretty awesome display of long-distance shooting. Villanova, which is on a path toward their second national championship in three seasons, made a total of eighteen field goals from beyond the three-point arc, and front-loaded those, effectively blowing the Jayhawks out early. They just couldn’t miss, it seemed, and when all was said and done, they had set a record for most threes in a single NCAA Tournament game.

Such was their emphasis on the triple that they attempted no less than FORTY of them, compared to only 24 inside the three-point line. As we were watching some of this, it was mentioned, well into the second half, that Jay Wright’s team, which had scored some points in the paint, had not made any attempts from mid-range and had not traken a free throw, which was amazing.

If the idea is that you’ll “dance with the one that bring ‘ya,” you’ve got to believe that Villanova will rely a great deal on the three-pointer in Monday night’s championship contest, which is scheduled to begin at 9:20 PM ET at the Alamodome in San Antonio (TBS o the telecast). For the season, the Wildcats have attempted 47.5% of their shots from three-point territory, and in the Big Dance this has been even more pronounced, as they have actually taken more shots from downtown (51.3%) than otherwise.

With four of the Villanova starters demonstrating that they can hit 40% from long-range (or close to it), one has to expect that they will make Michigan stop it if they want a chance to win.

And the interesting thing is, the Wolverines have done a pretty good job of that throughout the tournament and this 14-game winning streak they are on. When you look at the last ten games, in fact, they have held their opponents below 31% from the field nine times. Loyola-Chicago had come into the game with them 11th in the nation with 40.2%, but the Ramblers made just one out of ten from beyond the arc. Michigan, in fact, has permitted teams to make only eighteen treys TOTAL in the five NCAA Tournament games they have played.

And it’s not as if Villanova can’t go through an “off-game” when it comes to landing long shots. They were only 4-for-24 against Texas Tech, in fact, in their Elite Eight game, although they did enough of the other things correctly (including rebounding their own misses) that they won by a dozen points.

But here’s the thing about what Michigan does that will affect the game and affect our props – they are one of the nation’s best in terms of preventing their opponents from even TRYING three-pointers. Opposing teams try just 29.8% of their shots from the arc, and only four teams in the country have experienced a lower percentage than that. So John Beilein’s defensive game plans, by nature, are designed to run teams off the three-point line and make them do it some other way.

Villanova is third best in the nation with a 59% accuracy rate from two-point range, so it’s not like they can’t be successful that way. However, if they are forced into those kinds of shots, it could help Michigan cover the spread, and more importantly, keep the total points down (as of this morning, Villanova was a seven-point favorite with a total of 144.5 points at VietBet).

There are some props that address three-pointers. In one of them, Villanova is favored by 1.5 triples (priced at -115). Well, we’re not sure about that one, because we’re not sold on Michigan’s ability to make a lot of threes. But it might make sense to take a look at the proposition on TOTAL three-pointers. Right now we’re looking at 17.5, with the “over” at -120 and the “under” at even money.

That’s not a lead-pipe cinch, of course, but we know that Beilein’s plan is to (1) limit Villanova’s three-point attempts when they have the ball, and (2) limit the number of possessions in the game, as Michigan is one of the “slowest” teams in the nation, with an Adjusted Tempo that is 324th in the nation. So the “under” is perhaps worth a look.

VietBet has a great selection of props available for you to enjoy the NCAA championship game with. And don’t forget that there is reduced juice, helping you avoid laying the customary -110 on hoops action, and Live Betting Ultra, which enables real-time wagering while the game is ongoing……… Make your deposits using Visa, person-to-person transfers (like Western Union) and the virtual currency of Bitcoin, which is fast and easy with their automated system and NEVER incurs a transaction fee!