Last Updated: 2019-11-20
We dropped our first total and now have a pretty good-sized slate of games on today’s NBA schedule.
New York at Philadelphia: The total on this one opened 213.5 and is now 213 with a slight majority of the wagers coming in on the over. I have this one at 200 and will go ahead and take a shot on the under in this one.
San Antonio at Washington: The total on this one opened at 239.5 and has dropped slightly down to 237 even though the betting is pretty much split on this one.
Cleveland at Miami: The total on this one opened at 214 and has dropped slightly to 212.5, while I have it at 204. The Cavs did break a five-game under run last time out by not playing defense in a loss at New York.
Milwaukee at Atlanta: The total on this one opened 233 and is now down to 232 after a little more than 70% of the early wagers came in on the under. I have this one at 211, but hard to take the under on the Hawks right now, as they’ve allowed 120 or more points in six straight games, going 6-0 in those games.
Golden State at Dallas: The total on this one opened 221.5 and is down to 218 with pretty good two-way action coming in. I made the total on this one 225.
Charlotte at Brooklyn: The total on this one has dropped from 221.5 to 219.5 even though more than 70% of the early wagers have come in on the over. I made the total on this one 224.
Orlando at Toronto: This one came out at 208.5 and is now 208 even with 60% of the early wagers coming in on the over. I made this one 214.
Detroit at Chicago: The total on this one opened at 218.5 and has been bet up to 220 with a little less than 60% of the wagers landing on the over so far. I made this one 218.
Utah at Minnesota: The total on this one opened at 218 and is holding pretty steady, while I made this one 215.
Houston at Denver: This one came out at 225 and is all the way down to 22.5 with 65% of the early wagers coming in on the over. I made this one 228.
Boston at Clippers: This one came out at 219 and is now 218 after dropping to 217 and coming back a little bit. I made this one 200, so will take a stab on the under in this one, as well.
END OF NOV. 20 PICKS
Back with another season of NBA totals and last year was definitely up-and-down, as we couldn’t miss early on the year and then couldn’t hit the second half of the year. Hoping to see a little more consistency this year, although we’re getting into the fray a little earlier than normal.
So far this season, totals are 84-95-3 (46.9%), but totals of 225 or higher have managed to get the job done, going 31-22-1 (58.5%), while at the other end of the equation, totals of 215 and lower have gone just 18-29-2 (38.9%). The remainder of the games are 36-45 (44.4%).
There’s been a bit of a difference in totals depending on who is favored, as games with a road favorite are 26-41, while those games that sees the home team favored have gone 58-50-3, as the home team is more likely to try and outscore the opponent, while road favorites appear to be more interested in shutting down the opposition.
Philadelphia at Cleveland: The total on this one opened at 219 and the line has dropped to 216 despite close to 70% of the wagers coming in on the over. I have this one at 225, but will respect the line move and just stay clear of this one.
Boston at Sacramento: The total on this one opened at 215.5 and is now 216 with pretty good two-way action coming in on this one. The total did reach 218.5 earlier but has since come down from reaching its highest point. I have this one at 209.
Denver at Memphis: The total on this one opened at 213.5 and has dipped slightly to 212 even though close to 58% of the bets are coming in on the over. The Nuggets are 1-4 in away totals, but the Grizzlies play higher-scoring games at home. I have this one at 214, but will go ahead and take the under in this one, following the trends.
Washington at Orlando: The total on this one opened 220.5 and has been bet up to 223 with 60% of the wagers coming in on the over. I just have this one at 209, but the Wizards don’t inspire a lot of confidence in the under.
Golden State at New Orleans: The total on this one opened at 227.5 and has dipped slightly to 227. I have this one at 253 due to the scores the teams have accumulated this season, but numerous injuries and players listed as questionable will keep me off of the over.
Atlanta at LA Lakers: The total on this one opened at 219 and is down to 216.5, while I have it at 211. The Hawks’ defense has been non-existent the past few weeks.
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