Home NBA NBA Betting Articles NBA Betting Picks & Predictions: Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers 11/11/19

NBA Betting Picks & Predictions: Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers 11/11/19

A six-pack of games in the NBA opens up a new week in the Association. There are some interesting matchups on the board for this evening. The better games are in the early window, but in the interest of time with a little bit of a late start on Monday morning, we’ll focus on Game 559/560 between the Toronto Raptors and the Los Angeles Clippers.

In this How to Bet preview, we’ll break it all down and then take a look some suggested bets for the late-night game.

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Injuries/Suspensions

The Raptors are really dealing with a lot right now. Kyle Lowry is out for a couple more weeks with a broken thumb and Serge Ibaka suffered a badly sprained ankle. Fortunately, Pascal Siakam and Fred Van Vleet have been playing really well and can pick up the slack, but Lowry and Ibaka are two really big losses.

The Clippers are healthy for the most part. Paul George remains out, but he is very close to a return. He’s likely to return either this week or next week from shoulder surgery.

 

The Line

Without Lowry and Ibaka, the Raptors find themselves a double-digit underdog against the Clippers. This is the same line of 10.5 that Toronto faced last night against the Lakers in a very impressive 113-104 win. That was without Lowry and Ibaka as well. We’ll see how they fare tonight in the same building.

The total was 210.5 last night and is 223.5 tonight.

 

What’s At Stake?

It surely isn’t a bad thing for Toronto’s future hopes to play well without Lowry and Ibaka. The loss of Kawhi Leonard was going to be big enough for the Raptors, but now arguably their two best players are down and out. Siakam is making a case to be one of the best players in the Eastern Conference, so at least he is still around. Anyway, this has to be confidence building for Toronto.

The Clippers need to bank wins when Kawhi is out there because he’ll miss some back-to-backs. Playoff seeding could end up being important when all is said and done, so all games matter.

 

The Spot

I don’t love the spot for the Raptors. Ibaka and Lowry were both hurt on Friday. The team rallied and stepped up on Sunday, but three days in LA is hard on any team. Furthermore, the injuries pushed some role players and bench guys into a bigger workload on Sunday, so the back-to-back fatigue could be much greater.

The spot is actually quite good for the Clippers with three days off before this game. There is a huge spot advantage for LAC.

 

The Matchup

These are two teams off to solid starts. The Raptors are 7-2 and the Clippers are 6-3. Toronto ranks fifth in NetRtg and the Clippers rank eighth. Both teams rate about the same in ORtg, but Toronto’s increased defensive prowess ranks eighth in DRtg, while the Clippers are 14th. Toronto ranks third in eFG% on offense and the Clippers are just 13th. Toronto is also a top-five team in eFG% defense.

The Raptors are second by percentage points in three-point percentage, so they’ve really set themselves up well for success by knocking down a lot of triples. It makes up for being 26th in two-point percentage. That is the key to the game tonight. Los Angeles is sixth inside the arc at 66.4%. The Raptors are at 57.8%. They make up for it by hitting a lot of threes. The Clippers rank 19th in three-point percentage defense.

The Raptors are eighth in two-point percentage defense. Usually a back-to-back is going to lower a team’s effort on the defensive end of the floor. Defense is the path to victory for the Clippers here, however, so they had better defend well.

 

The Bets

The full-game line of 10.5 is way too dicey. It is rather interesting that the Raptors sans Lowry and Ibaka would have the same line a day later against the Clippers after a win over the Lakers. I won’t touch the full game side or total here. What I would do is take Toronto first quarter. It may take the Clippers a little time to get into the flow of the game. The Raptors just played on this floor, so they should be good to go.

As the game goes along, however, look for live betting opportunities on the Clippers or maybe make a second-half play on LAC. Toronto spent a lot of energy in a rally spot on Sunday. I think they’ll be hard-pressed to do the same tonight. Siakam and VanVleet played 42 and 39 minutes, respectively. Chris Boucher had 15 off the bench in 24 minutes. Marc Gasol was forced into 33 minutes. Toronto dominated the second half with a big effort.

I’m not sure we get the same tonight.

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