Although there is a significant gap in points between Napoli and Lazio, and the fact that it’s a two-horse race for the Serie A title, this duel can offer a plenty of excitement as it was the case in some of the previous head-to-head meetings. Napoli is hoping to win the first league trophy since Diego Maradona’s time in Naples, while Lazio wants to compete in the Champions League next season, so there is a lot of motivation here for either side. The game will take place at San Paolo on Saturday, February 10th.
Napoli vs. Lazio
Three-Way: 1: Napoli -164; X: +333 Draw; 2: Lazio +400 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1: Napoli +104; Lazio -133
Total 3 goals: Over +102; Under -120
The Little Donkeys are in an excellent run of seven consecutive league victories and elimination from Coppa Italia only gave them more space and time to focus exclusively on the Serie A. Napoli is currently at the top of the table with 60 points, one ahead of Juventus, and even 14 more than Lazio, so it’s evident that the Old Lady will be Napoli’s biggest rival for the Scudetto. Maurizio Sarri’s side won four straight games following a cup defeat to Atalanta including the latest 2-0 win at Benevento, but Lazio will pose a much bigger test, probably the biggest thus far in 2018.
Napoli played 33 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 24 victories, three draws, and six losses, with a goal difference of 67:27, which is 2.84 goals per contest on average. The Little Donkeys won the previous three league matches at home, scoring eight goals and conceding three in return.
Dries Mertens is the team’s top scorer with 18 goals in 33 appearances and is surely the player to watch in this tilt, but Lorenzo Insigne with ten, and Jose Callejon with eight goals are also the ones that should be closely monitored on Saturday. Mertens is the best assist-maker with 12 dishes to his name, which means that he was directly involved in 28 of Napoli’s goals this season. Insigne is following him with eight assists, while Callejon has seven at the moment. Maurizio Sarri cannot count on Faouzi Ghoulam and Arkadiusz Milik who are both out with a cruciate ligament injury.
The Eagles are not experiencing the best of times currently as they failed to record a win in the last three games, and after a scoreless draw with Milan in Coppa Italia, Lazio loss at home to Genoa in Serie A. The visitors took a lead through Lazio’s former forward Goran Pandev in the 55th minute, but Marco Parolo equalized only four minutes later, and when everybody expected the hosts to grab a late win, Diego Laxalt stunned Stadio Olimpico with the 92nd minute winner. Lazio is in the 3rd position with 46 points, only one more than Inter, and two ahead of the arch-rivals Roma, so a potential defeat here could send them to the 5th place.
Lazio played 33 games in this campaign, recording 21 victories, five draws, and seven losses, with a goal difference of 78:39, which is 3.54 goals per contest on average. The Eagles won just one out of the last six away matches, while they drew four out of the previous five on the road, scoring nine goals in the process, and conceding seven in return.
Ciro Immobile is the team’s leading scorer with 26 goals in 27 appearances, and despite the fact that he didn’t find the net in the past five games, there is no doubt he will pose the biggest threat to Pepe Reina’s goal. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is also a key contributor with nine goals to his name, while Luis Alberto has eight goals so far. Luis Alberto and Immobile are the most creative individuals at Stadio Olimpico with nine assists apiece, while Marco Parolo recorded eight dishes. Simone Inzaghi is delighted to have Sergej and Senad Lulic back after serving a suspension, and he is only without Davide Di Gennaro who is sidelined with a muscle injury.
Napoli vs. Lazio – Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Napoli scored ten goals in the previous five games at home
- Napoli conceded five goals in the last five matches at San Paolo
- Lazio didn’t score in just two out of 17 road games in this season
- Lazio scored 11 goals in the last five away games in Serie A
- Lazio allowed eight goals in the previous five away games in the league
Napoli won four out of the previous five H2H duels and I consider the hosts as favorites on this one, but I seriously doubt they will keep the net intact as Lazio has a great record on the road and scored the league-high 29 goals in away games at the moment. That’s why I recommend you to go with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, especially considering that these teams produced 20 goals in the past five encounters at San Paolo.
MY PICK: Both teams to score YES & Over 2.5 goals (-105)