The Racers and Bears are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and the Bears are favored to win at home against the Racers.
MURRAY STATE RACERS VS MISSOURI STATE BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri State Bears -4.5
This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Are the Racers Ready for a Road Win?
Through 15 games, Murray State has a record of 6-9. They have won three straight games, and their record in Missouri Valley Conference play is 3-1. On the road, they have gone just 1-5, and their average scoring margin is -1.0.
So far this season, the Racers have been the underdog in seven of their games, and their record in those contests is 2-5. Their average scoring margin at home is -0.2, and they have won two straight games at home.
As the underdog this season, Murray State has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-3 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 5-5.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average OU line of 142.8 in Murray State’s games this season. So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their over/under record during that span is 1-2.
The Murray State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 81 points vs. Evansville. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.5% while connecting on 10 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Rob Perry, who holds an average of 14.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jacobi Wood is averaging 12.8 points per game this season.
Coming into today’s game, the Murray State defense is giving up an average of 71.4 points per contest. Murray State’s three-point defense is currently 140th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.3% of their shots vs. Murray State.
Can the Bears Grab a Win at Home?
Missouri State comes into this game with a 9-6 record, including a 7-1 record at home. They have gone 1-3 in Missouri Valley Conference games, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.9 points per game.
So far this season, the Bears have been favored in six of their 15 games, going 5-1 in those contests. Their most recent game was an 86-60 loss to Bradley. Over their last 10 games at home, Missouri State has gone 9-1.
As the favorite, Missouri State has a solid 4-2 record against the spread this season. Overall, the Bears have gone 7-6-1 vs. the spread this year. At home, their ATS mark is 6-2 and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three home games.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Missouri State’s games this season (140.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 134 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Missouri State offense tallied 60 points in a matchup against Bradley. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.5%, and they made 4 threes. Leading Missouri State in scoring vs. Bradley was Cesare Edwards with his 17 points. Donovan Clay also added 13 points for the Bears.
So far, the Bears’ defense is ranked 98th in the country at 68.3 points per contest. The Missouri State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 86 points and allowed Bradley to connect on 8 threes.