Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Pick 1/11/20


In a game between two teams currently on losing streaks, the Montreal Canadiens and the Ottawa Senators meet at Canadian Tire Centre. The opening face-off takes place at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, and you’ll be able to witness this Atlantic Division matchup live on CBC Sports.

Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators Odds

Montreal (-145) is favored over Ottawa (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -110 for the over and -110 on the under.

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Montreal is 18-27 straight up (SU) and has lost 15.1 units for moneyline bettors this year. 22 of its matches have gone over the total, while 21 have gone under and just two have pushed. The Habs are 10-12 SU on the road in 2019-20.

Montreal has converted on 21.3 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. Its penalty kill is ranked 25th out of 31 teams, and it has successfully killed off only 77.3 percent of all penalties.

For the team as a whole, Montreal has been penalized just 3.2 times per game overall this season, 3.2 per game over its past five contests total, and 3.0 per game over its last five road outings. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays just 7.5 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Averaging 26.8 saves per game with a .901 save percentage, Carey Price (16-20-4) has been the primary option in goal for Montreal this season. If head coach Claude Julien decides to rest him, however, Montreal might go with Keith Kinkaid (1-5-3 record, .875 save percentage, 4.24 goals against average).

Tomas Tatar and Max Domi will both be relied on to facilitate things for the visiting Canadiens. Tatar has 38 points on 16 goals and 22 assists, and has recorded two or more points in nine different games. Domi has 12 goals and 21 assists to his credit (and has registered at least one point in 25 games).

On the other side of the ice, Ottawa is 16-28 straight up (SU) and has lost 6.0 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 25 of its games have gone over the total, while 18 have gone under and none have pushed. The team’s 11-9 SU at home this year.

Ottawa has converted on just 11.9 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a figure that places it in the bottom overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 17th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 80.9 percent of all opponent power plays.

The Senators have been penalized 4.1 times per game this season, and 3.4 per game over their last ten match ups. The team has been forced to kill penalties 9.6 minutes per contest over their last five home games.

Anders Nilsson has denied 28.5 shots per game as the primary choice in the crease for Ottawa. Nilsson has nine wins, 11 losses, and two overtime losses to his credit and has registered a mediocre 3.18 goals against average and a poor .908 save percentage this year.

The Sens will be led on offense by Anthony Duclair (21 goals, 11 assists).

Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Picks

Free Pick: SU Winner – Senators, O/U – Over


Betting Notes

For both of these teams, the total has gone over in each of their past five games.

The Canadiens have averaged the league’s most shots on goal (35.1) while Ottawa has attempted just the 26th-most (29.7).

Penalties and power plays could have a critical role tonight. The Canadiens are 6-10 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 15-19 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Senators are 5-12 when the team serves fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-13 in games where they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.

Montreal is 2-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Ottawa is 0-3 in shootouts.

Ottawa has averaged 6.4 takeaways per game over its last five home games, right in line with its season average of 6.6 takeaways per game (ranked 26th in the NHL).

Montreal has scored just 2.5 goals per game (while allowing 3.8) over its eight-game losing streak.

Montreal is ranked 20th in the league with 7.1 takeaways per game. That figure has trended down lately, however, as the team has managed 5.7 takeaways over its last 10 games and 6.0 takeaways over its last five.

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