Montreal Canadiens vs. Detroit Red Wings Free Pick 1/7/20

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A couple of teams currently on losing skids, the Montreal Canadiens and the Detroit Red Wings collide at Little Caesars Arena. Fox Sports Detroit will air this Original Six matchup, and the action gets going at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 7.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Detroit Red Wings Odds

Montreal is 18-25 straight up (SU) and has lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 43 regular season contests, 21 of its games have gone over the total, while 19 have gone under and just two have pushed. The Habs are 10-11 SU as a road team in 2019-20.

Montreal has converted on 21.7 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. Its penalty kill is ranked 25th in the league, and the team’s successfully killed off only 77.0 percent of all penalties.

Montreal, as a collective unit, has been penalized just 3.3 times per game during the 2019-20 season, 3.4 per game over its past five matchups total, and 3.4 per game over its last five road outings. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays just 7.5 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

With a .902 save percentage and 27.0 saves per game, Carey Price (16-19-4) has been the top option in goal for Montreal this season. Price played last night, however, so the team might decide to rest him and instead turn to Keith Kinkaid (1-5-3 record, .875 save percentage, 4.24 goals against average).

Tomas Tatar and Shea Weber will both lead the offensive attack for the visiting Canadiens. Tatar (37 points) has tallied 16 goals and 21 assists, and has recorded two or more points eight times. Weber has 12 goals and 20 assists to his name, and has registered at least one point in 24 games.

Detroit is 10-33 straight up (SU) and has lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 43 regular season matches, 20 of its games have gone over the total, while 18 have gone under and just five have pushed. It’s 6-15 SU at home this season.

Detroit has converted on just 15.7 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s ranked 26th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 30th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 73.8 percent of all penalties.

Detroit skaters have been penalized 3.6 times per game this season, and 2.2 per game over their last five at home. The team’s been forced to stave off opponent power plays just 7.6 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Jonathan Bernier has denied 26.0 shots per game as the top option in goal for Detroit. Bernier has eight wins, 18 losses, and two overtime losses and has registered a poor .904 save percentage and 3.04 goals against average this season.

Tyler Bertuzzi (15 goals, 16 assists) will pace the offensive attack for the Wings.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Detroit Red Wings Free Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Red Wings, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes

Four of Detroit’s last five outings gone under the total.

The Canadiens have averaged the league’s second-most shots on goal (35.3) while Detroit has attempted the 32nd-most (only 28.0).

Penalties and power plays may have a critical role in this game. The Canadiens are 6-9 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 15-17 in games where they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 minutes, total. The Red Wings are 5-11 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-23 when their penalty minutes are in the single digits.

Detroit is ranked 31st in the league with 4.3 takeaways per game. That figure has trended higher recently, as the team has created 5.0 takeaways over its last 10 games and 5.0 takeaways over its last five.

Montreal has scored just 2.5 goals per game (while giving up 3.7) over its last six games (0-6 SU over that span).

Montreal skaters have forced 5.4 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 7.3 takeaways per game (ranked 19th overall).

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