It’s time to wipe the sleep from your eyes and shake off a case of the Mondays because we have work to do. A new week begins and that means that we have new opportunities to cash big in daily fantasy baseball. Ten games are on the Monday night docket and players have the chance to start things off on a high note. Some really good pitchers are coming in at reasonable prices today as a bunch of new series get underway. These smaller, more focused cards may have fewer options, but they may also be easier to study. It’s all about putting together the right pieces to the puzzle.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 2:
Texas – Even though there are quite a few average or worse pitchers on the mound today, it’s not a great day for stacking teams. We’ll take a chance with Texas here against RA Dickey for their series at Rogers Centre. The Rangers were bounced from last year’s playoffs on the epic bat flip of Jose Bautista and the expectation is that the road team is out for some revenge here. Dickey seems like a good starting point. There are some signs of regression with a .353 BABIP and a 52.8 percent strand rate, but Dickey’s control is the worst it has ever been and the command hasn’t been much better. For positive regression to come, there’s a reasonable expectation of average command. That doesn’t exist, so expect Dickey’s problems to keep going.
Colorado – Stacking Colorado outside of Coors? It’s all about the matchup. James Shields continues to struggle. The home run has come down a little bit, but now he’s not striking anybody out and has the same poor control that he exhibited last season. He’s been fortunate to post a .232 BABIP against and a 78.5 percent strand rate. That’s why his 3.55 ERA is a lot better than his 4.64 FIP and 4.73 xFIP. His velocity is down and he’s on pace for the lowest chase rate and also lowest swinging strike rate of his career. Colorado ranks 10th in wOBA on the road this season, which is rather incredible.
Houston – The slumping Astros may be able to take advantage of the inexperience of Jose Berrios. As mentioned, it’s not a great night for stacking for a variety of reasons, but this is one that may play out in a favorable way. Berrios was good two times through the Indians lineup, but he ran into trouble the third time through. The Astros strike out a lot, but they’re also going to run up the rookie’s pitch count and work deep counts. That means there should be at least one mistake per plate appearance. Hopefully Houston can make some of those count.
Here are the top value hitters for May 2:
Michael Conforto ($3,800) – I can’t stress this enough. Michael Conforto has to be in your lineup against righties. Terry Collins gave Conforto a chance against left-hander Madison Bumgarner yesterday and it didn’t go well. Conforto is a .381/.459/.746 hitter against RHP on the season and Mike Foltynewicz is not a good one. Truthfully, the Mets may be a better stacking option than those above, but Conforto is definitely a must-start player once again today.
Byung-ho Park ($3,500) – Catching Byung-ho Park at this price is a gift. Dallas Keuchel is a fine starting pitcher, but Park has prodigious power to all fields and will have a platoon advantage here in this situation. The Korean-born catcher is only batting .232, but we’re looking at his SLG, which is .551 for the season. Minute Maid Park is a much friendlier hitting environment than Target Field, so Park is a guy to watch throughout this series.
Josh Reddick ($3,700) – Josh Reddick is doing what he usually does against right-handed pitching. The corner outfielder owns a .290/.375/.522 slash against righties on the young season with four home runs to his name. He’s got a .374 wOBA and a 148 wRC+ with the favorable split on the season. Reddick finished last season slashing .289/.347/.478 against righties, so he’s off to a very hot start and that could continue against Nate Karns on Monday.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 2:
Kendall Graveman ($5,800) – Kendall Graveman didn’t have it last time out against the Tigers, as they picked on some sinkers up in the zone and did some damage. Graveman had a couple extra days to lick his wounds, as this will be his first start since April 25. There were some signs of regression for Graveman, and there still are, but he’s back home in a good pitching environment that will play to his favor. At this price, you really don’t need a lot and he can be paired with one of the top starters.
Nate Karns ($7,600) – In his last start, Nate Karns put it all together against the Astros. He worked seven innings and struck out six. GM Jerry Dipoto recently said on MLB Network Radio on Sirius/XM that Karns needed to get more efficient with his pitches. There was an emphasis on throwing strikes in that start and he kept the ball on the ground. He had some unfortunate batted ball luck in his first start against Oakland, but he’s been more than a strikeout per inning guy on the season so far. He’s worth a look at this reasonable price.
Dallas Keuchel ($9,900) – If Dallas Keuchel wants to get on track, a visit from Minnesota is a decent start. The Twins have some good middle of the order bats, but the table-setters are pretty uninspiring and that’s why he could have a lot of success here. His ground ball rate has regressed along with his walk rate, which is why he has a 4.41 ERA despite really strong FIP and xFIP numbers. His swinging strike rate is actually up a couple ticks this season, so I’m expecting to see some positive regression here very soon. Against a Twins lineup that likes to swing and miss quite a bit, Keuchel should start to get on the right track.