The sun rises on another day of daily fantasy baseball. The Colorado Rockies are still on the road, so you actually have to do some research and put some time and effort into DFS today. It’s a very interesting day, with 14 games at our disposal, thanks to the Indians and Tigers playing at 6:10 p.m. ET for no good reason. Unfortunately, Mr. Kate Upton will not be available today for your lineups. Pitcher prices are all over the map, but many good pitchers are quite affordable today, so it should be a good day for players that look for arms at good prices.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 3:
Los Angeles Angels – I guess it’s a great story that Junior Guerra, who has been just about everywhere, man, is getting his first career Major League start. He made three appearances for the White Sox last season after they signed him out of a league in Italy. He’s pitched in the Mexican League and in the Braves and Mets organizations. One worry here is that the Milwaukee Triple-A affiliate is in Colorado Springs, so he’s pitching in altitude in home games in the minors. That’s a hard adjustment for pitchers to make. Also, he’s been around forever and has three MLB appearances. There’s a reason for that.
Toronto – This potent Toronto lineup has to get it going at some point, right? They rank 16th in wOBA at just .311, as strikeouts have hurt their ability to get on base. They are 15th in wOBA with men in scoring position as well. Martin Perez is serviceable, but his control has been really poor this season. He’s not a strikeout guy and the Blue Jays need to see some pitch-to-contact arms to try and snap out of this funk. He doesn’t give up a lot of home runs, but the Blue Jays will get balls in play and should get some prime opportunities to rack up points.
Cincinnati – We’ll go very contrarian here and give the Reds a shot. Jeff Samardzija still isn’t really passing the eye test. None of his stats stand out in a big way, but he’s faced some pretty lackluster lineups this season and has still struggled at times, particularly with control. This is not a great park for guys with inconsistent command and that’s what we’ve seen over the last few seasons from Samardzija. It’s not a popular stack, so if it comes through, it could be extremely profitable.
Here are the top value hitters for May 3:
Yasmany Tomas ($3,800) – The Cuban import is having a decent season so far, but it’s the splits that we notice for Tuesday night. Over 150 plate appearances, Tomas is a .302/.347/.540 hitter against left-handed pitching and there aren’t many that are more hittable than Justin Nicolino. Nicolino is the epitome of a pitch-to-contact starter, so Tomas’s swing-and-miss prowess is negated a bit. In a very small sample this season of just 31 PA, Tomas has five extra-base hits and has a .393/.452/.786 slash.
Miguel Sano ($4,000) – Collin McHugh’s command problems are really looming large this season, as he has hung a 6.65 ERA to date. Miguel Sano is off to a little bit of a slow start from a power standpoint, but the big slugger gets a crack at a pitcher that is really struggling to find it right now. McHugh hasn’t been giving up a lot of home runs, but his strikeout rate decrease has really hurt his effectiveness. The Twins have some guys capable of doing damage and Sano is one of them.
Brandon Moss ($3,200) – The 1B/OF owns a .225/.317/.521 slash on the season, but it’s that slugging percentage that we are looking at against Aaron Nola. Nola has tremendous upside, but he has given up 14 HR in his first 110.2 innings in the big leagues. Moss has hit all six of his home runs in 66 PA against right-handed pitching this season. Cheap power is always attractive in DFS and that’s what Moss can provide.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 3:
Nick Tropeano ($5,600) – Nick Tropeano is a pretty popular guy in the baseball community right now. He’s had a few control problems here and there this season, but the Brewers lineup isn’t going to strike fear into anybody. He’s struck out 71 in 80.2 career MLB innings and has pretty good command. At this price, you’re really not asking for much and he should allow you to roster Jake Arrieta, while leaving room for a pretty good lineup.
Steven Wright ($7,100) – I think it’s time to buy in to the knuckleballer. He has 25 strikeouts in 26.1 innings of work. Control is always a worry with knucklers, but he’s also working well over six innings per start. He’s got a little bit more velocity than a guy like RA Dickey, so he can use his fastball a little bit more. Grading knuckleballers based on stats is hard to do, but Wright has a 22.5 percent K% on the season and that’ll definitely play if he can find a way to sustain it.
Chris Tillman ($6,200) – I’m reluctantly buying Chris Tillman. Tillman made some arsenal changes that have really helped him this season. He’s decreased the use of his fastball and is throwing more sliders. Sliders are swing-and-miss pitches and that’s why he’s just shy of a strikeout per inning so far. He’s also gained some fastball velocity, sitting 92.2 mph on the season, up from 91.5 last season and 90.8 two seasons ago. His swinging strike rate is 4.4 percent higher than his career average. We’ll have to see if it lasts, since most of the swings and misses are in the zone, but it’s impressive nonetheless.