MLB fans will be treated to all day baseball on Saturday with seven day games and eight night games for their consideration. Daily fantasy players can choose between all day contests or look to specialize in either segment of the day. Or, you can simply play both. Whatever your decision, we’re here to help with some good stacking options and some value picks for May 7. Temperatures are starting to warm up across the country, which could mean even more power, but it can also mean another tick or two on the radar gun for some pitchers.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 7:
Texas (early) – It’s our friend Mike Pelfrey again! Alfredo Simon pitched well this week, so maybe it’s Blind Squirrel Theory week, but fading Mike Pelfrey is too much fun to ignore. Through five starts, Pelfrey has allowed 21 runs, 16 earned, on 37 hits with 15 BB and 12 K. In other words, he’s been awful. His 5.68/5.45/5.37 pitcher slash shouldn’t invoke confidence in anybody. Pelfrey’s one good start came against Houston when he allowed one run in six innings. He gave up five hits and walked six, so he had a horseshoe lodged in one of his orifices.
Kansas City (early) – Cody Anderson makes his return to the big leagues for the Indians after a poor start at Triple-A. The Indians had no need for a fifth starter for about two weeks, but they also wanted Anderson to work on some things. He struck out six in 5.2, but gave up seven hits and four runs, including two home runs. The Royals aren’t really hitting yet, but that should keep their salaries a little bit lower for this really advantageous matchup.
Miami (late) – Jeremy Hellickson has seen an interesting uptick in his strikeout rate, but he’s also left some mistakes out over the plate that hitters have capitalized on. He’s given up seven home runs in just 31.1 innings of work on the season. His Zone-Contact% of 80.3 percent isn’t sustainable, so the strikeout rate is going to take a pretty big tumble here soon. The Marlins have enough quality offensive pieces to put together a nice night against Hellickson’s subpar command.
Here are the top value hitters for May 7:
Bryce Harper (early) ($4,800) – So he’s not priced like most of our value picks. It doesn’t really matter here. Harper entered play on Friday with a .274/.402/.644 slash against right-handed pitching. The Nationals could have been a stacking option because regression is coming for Jason Hammel. Hammel has a .260 BABIP against and his HR/FB% is 7.5 percent below his career rate. His 91.8 percent strand rate is coming down as well. It would only be fitting to see an elite player like Harper have a big day.
Michael Conforto (late) ($3,500) – James Shields gave up 23 HR in 439 PA against left-handed hitters last season. They slugged .522 against him. So far this season, he’s had a little bit more success, but Michael Conforto is doing a number on righties this season. Entering play on Friday, Conforto owned a .333/.420/.640 slash against righties. That’s a 179 wRC+. That means he’s 79 percent better than league average against RHP. That’s special.
Colby Rasmus (late) ($3,500) – Colby Rasmus gambled on himself by picking up Houston’s qualifying offer and it’s paying off so far. Rasmus entered play on Friday with a .231/.357/.495 slash line and seven home runs in 112 PA. He’s basically a platoon player, excelling from the left side against right-handed pitching. He’s a .241/.358/.532 hitter against RHP so far this season. Nate Karns has swing-and-miss stuff, but can also walk hitters and give up some home runs. Rasmus is a three true outcomes guy, so hopefully we get more of the good outcomes.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 7:
Ian Kennedy (early) ($7,700) – You take the bad with the good for Ian Kennedy. He definitely gives up some home runs, but he can erase those quickly for DFS purposes with some strikouts. Entering play on Friday, the Indians were seventh in K% against RHP at 23.8 percent. Kennedy has averaged more than a strikeout per inning over his last 400.1 innings of work. That’ll play at this salary.
Jake Odorizzi (late) ($7,800) – Jake Odorizzi gets to enjoy the spoils of pitching at Angel Stadium on Saturday and that’s a great environment for pitchers. It’s especially good for a fly ball guy like Odorizzi, who can get some strikeouts, but mostly relies on weak aerial contact. Don’t be surprised if he throws a real gem in the friendly conditions. His low walk rate and good stuff are a great bet at this price.
Dallas Keuchel (late) ($8,300) – I may come to regret this, but Dallas Keuchel should excel in this matchup. He hasn’t been the same pitcher so far, but the left-handed-heavy Seattle Mariners are the type of team that Keuchel should shut down. Keuchel has a 5.11 ERA with a 3.27 FIP and a 3.88 xFIP. His low strand rate and high BABIP should see some regression. The walks are a problem, but the Mariners don’t walk much as a team. This is a worthwhile gamble on a good pitcher with a good matchup.