Tuesday night brings us a full slate of evening action on the DFS docket. Daily fantasy players have 15 games and 30 teams to choose from in hopes of becoming the next player to get one of those big payouts or to keep rolling right along in those 50/50 or H2H contests. Rainy weather is possible in certain parts of the country, so make sure that you stay updated on the latest so that you don’t get stuck with any players that won’t be able to play tonight. The last thing you want to do is get a bagel from a player in a postponed game.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 10:
Arizona/Colorado – It’s elementary. You have to stack a team at Coors in at least one of your GPP lineups and it’s never a bad idea to do it in 50/50s or H2Hs either. Coors and its park effects have taken a lot of the fun out of DFS, though it can be very frustrating to get the occasional 3-1 game that inexplicably happens in the altitude. With Chris Rusin for Colorado and Rubby de la Rosa for Arizona, it would be a major surprise to see one of those tonight.
Pittsburgh – The Blind Squirrel Theory allowed Alfredo Simon to find a nut last week. There’s no reason to expect the same thing here tonight. A good start for Simon was giving up three runs on seven hits in 7.2 innings of work against the Milwaukee Brewers. That’s definitely good enough, a 3.52 ERA, but he did benefit from some fortunate sequencing to get out of some jams. He has a 9.86/6.93/4.77 pitcher slash on the season and a 5.26/4.81/4.64 since the All-Star Break in 2014.
Toronto – The Blue Jays still can’t seem to get clicking on all cylinders. Matt Cain may be able to help with that. It’s really sad to see what injuries have done to Cain. After working 200 or more innings for six straight seasons, everything started to unravel in a big way. This season, Cain owns a 7.84 ERA with a 5.29 FIP and a 4.99 xFIP. Last season, in 60.2 innings, Cain had a 5.79/5.54/4.94 pitcher slash. His command is completely gone and the power-hungry Blue Jays are ready to let out some frustration on mistake pitches.
Here are the top value hitters for May 10:
Jackie Bradley Jr. ($3,600) – Defense was never a question for Jackie Bradley Jr. It was all about whether or not he could hit. Over JBJ’s last 374 plate appearances, he owns a .267/.340/.515 slash line. That’s good enough for a .364 wOBA and a 129 wRC+, which means he has been 29 percent above league average offensively in that span. He had a huge night last night with a grand slam and six RBI. This season, he’s hitting righties, but he has had good success against lefties over the last two seasons with .394 and .340 wOBAs, respectively. Command can be spotty for rookie Sean Manaea.
Matt Kemp ($3,900) – If only Matt Kemp could do on the fat side of the platoon what he does on the thin side. Kemp is bashing lefties to the tune of a .323/.313/.677 slash with a 158 wRC+ and a .410 wOBA on the season. For his career, Kemp is a .326/.386/.552 hitter against lefties, which is 52 percent above league average. He has been at least 17 percent above league average against lefties every season since 2007, and many times he has been well over that.
Buster Posey ($3,600) – The best offensive catcher in baseball for just $3,600? Sure, why not. Bruce Bochy has made a concerted effort this season to give Posey more time off early in the year to keep him productive throughout the season. He was limited to pinch-hit duty last night. But, Posey is a .286/.347/.457 hitter on the season. Posey hits just about everyone, but he is a .364/.436/.576 hitter against lefties on the season.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 10:
Adam Morgan ($5,500) – Any chance you can run a bargain bin pitcher out there against the Braves, you probably want to do it. Adam Morgan has given up three runs in each of his starts, but he has faced a couple of decent lineups. The Braves are nowhere near decent. Morgan did have seven strikeouts in his first MLB start of 2016 against the Indians, so there is some swing-and-miss upside there. At this price, you’re not asking for a whole lot and he’d be a great complement to Drew Smyly from a cost-benefit standpoint.
Drew Smyly ($10,500) – Speaking of Drew Smyly, he’s not the most expensive pitcher on the board today, but he absolutely should be. The Rays southpaw has struck out 124 of the last 424 batters that he has faced. That’s a 29.2 percent K%, which is undoubtedly elite. Against a Mariners lineup heavy with left-handers, and in a premier pitching environment, Smyly should be able to rack up a very big night for DFS players. If he can maintain this current walk rate, we’re talking about one of the best pitchers in all of baseball this season.
Kevin Gausman ($8,200) – We’ll have to see how Kevin Gausman fares here against a Twins lineup that has been swinging and missing with regularity this season. The right-hander has shown good control and command through three starts so far. The strikeout gains he enjoyed in his first start against Tampa Bay have not returned, but he’s been very effective and Minnesota doesn’t have a great lineup outside of the middle of the order with Park and Sano. He’s worth a flyer at this price, especially with an extra day of rest due to yesterday’s rainout.