Baseball takes center stage on Saturday, with no NBA or NHL playoff games on the schedule. There are 16 games slated for May 14, with a day/night doubleheader in D.C. between the Marlins and the Nationals. Six early games and 10 late games comprise the daily fantasy card today, so we’ll take a look at both segments of the day and find those under-the-radar players that can make all the difference in your GPPs, H2Hs, or 50/50s.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 14:
Boston (early) – Things haven’t gone well for Collin McHugh this season and shoddy command is a big reason why. The Astros right-hander has allowed 48 hits in 34.1 innings of work and has also given up five home runs. He does show some signs of regression from an ERA-xFIP standpoint, but the Red Sox at Fenway Park doesn’t seem like the time to bank on that. McHugh’s fastball velocity is down and his fastball command has been his biggest issue. Those are two bad developments against the best lineup in the American League.
Chicago Cubs (early) – Jeff Locke is not a good MLB starting pitcher. In 2014-15, he was bordering on serviceable. That’s not really the case this season. Locke has a 4.66 FIP and a 4.62 xFIP to go along with his 4.68 ERA, so there aren’t any stats that are due for major regression. Perhaps his walk rate will gradually go down, but that’s unlikely against a very patient, very potent Chicago Cubs lineup. Locke just doesn’t have enough depth to his arsenal to get good Major League hitters out.
Kansas City (late) – There is no shortage of stacking options in the late games tonight, but the Royals would appear to be the best one. Mike Fastballynewicz has been given that moniker by me because all he throws are bad fastballs. Foltynewicz has given up 24 home runs in 116 innings. He’s allowed 148 hits. This season, Folty has racked up some strikeouts, but he’s also allowed six runs on 13 hits with four home runs against 47 batters. We know that home runs add up in a hurry.
Here are the top value hitters for May 14:
Travis Shaw (early) ($3,800) – All Travis Shaw has done this season is hit. The Red Sox third baseman is up to .328/.397/.565 on the season after hitting another dinger last night. He’s lighting up right-handed pitching with a .384/.455/.646 slash in 112 plate appearances. With McHugh’s command troubles, Shaw should be in line for another really solid day at the plate. Even if you don’t stack Boston, Shaw should be included in all formats.
Alex Gordon (late) ($3,800) – Alex Gordon is gradually coming out of his slow start to the season. Gordon owns a .294/.375/.500 slash over his last 34 at bats and has a very favorable matchup here tonight. A lot of Royals seem to be struggling out of the gate this season, but there are too many good hitters in that lineup for such a skid to continue. Gordon certainly falls into that category.
Michael Conforto (late) ($4,800) – Even with the Coors Field-inflated price, Michael Conforto is a worthy streaming candidate in all formats. Conforto, as you know, mauls right-handed pitching and he’s got a good matchup here against Eddie Butler. Conforto is a .315/.396/.620 hitter against right-handers on the season and Butler has allowed a .342/.445/.627 slash to lefties in his career over 241 PA.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 14:
Kendall Graveman (early) ($6,100) – It’s a terrible day for value pitchers. Kendall Graveman has seen a pretty big strikeout bump and he’s been the victim of some bad home run luck that should regress. His HR/FB% of 28.1 percent is way out of the normal range and that’s something that should come back to earth. When it does, his 5.74 ERA should be closer to his 4.09 xFIP. That’ll play at this price.
Jhoulys Chacin (late) ($5,900) – I’m going to consider a gamble on Jhoulys Chacin tonight. He’s got the opportunity to walk into a new situation and pitch in a good pitcher’s park for his first game. American League hitters haven’t seen a ton of him and there’s not a whole lot he needs to do in order to validate this small price tag. This is almost more of a gut pick than anything else.
Aaron Nola (late) ($9,500) – Aaron Nola has been really special for the Phightin’ Phils so far this season. Nola has racked up over a strikeout per inning, has increased his GB%, and has minimized walks. Those are all great attributes for any starting pitcher. In theory, he could get even better if his LOB% regresses towards the league average. Right now it’s at 66.1 percent, which is about six percent below average.