In total, there are 11 games on tap for May 19, with a couple of afternoon contests in Baltimore and Milwaukee. Our focus will be on the nine games that will conclude under the lights in various locales across the United States. With 18 teams at our disposal, it’s important to dig deep and find those value players that will separate your lineup from the rest. Three pitchers are coming in with very high price tags, which always creates good value on the lesser-tier starters. We’re excited about today’s card and you should be, too.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 19:
Cleveland – After some late-night Francisco Lindor heroics, the Indians are in search of a home-and-home sweep of the Cincinnati Reds. Tim Adleman is the guy looking to prevent that. The 28-year-old got a late start on his big league career. He’s pitched relatively well, but his 3.38 ERA is accompanied by a 4.59 FIP and a 4.54 xFIP. His 84.2 percent strand rate is driving the ERA and that’s not sustainable for a guy with his strikeout rate. A K%-BB% of nine percent isn’t good enough for most guys to get by and that should be the case here with Adleman. Even down a hitter, the Indians are worth a stack tonight. Also, that Reds bullpen is horrible and Adleman’s averaging about 5.1 innings per start.
Atlanta – Yeah, this is certifiably insane, but Jeff Locke is terrible. Locke just continues to regress and for some inexplicable reason the Pirates keep watching it. He has a 5.45/5.22/4.96 slash and a bad outing here might be the nail in the coffin. Tyler Glasnow should be up and it should come at the expense of Locke. It’s safe to say that you’d be in the minority with a Braves stack and it could be something that pays off handsomely if he continues to pitch badly.
Washington – Matt Harvey still isn’t right. The Mets right-hander has a 4.93 ERA on the season and a .373 BABIP against. As a result, his advanced metrics show signs of regression, but Harvey’s command just isn’t where it needs to be. With the bases empty, hitters have a .271/.333/.396 slash. With men on base, it balloons to .341/.383/.529. There’s some sort of mechanical issue from the stretch that Harvey has not been able to figure out. If he’s going to continue to struggle in this medium-leverage plate appearances, that’s how points add up.
Here are the top value hitters for May 19:
Matt Joyce ($3,400) – This is about as good of a matchup as it gets for a guy like Matt Joyce. The Braves will throw Mike Foltynewicz and his heavy-fastball arsenal to the Pirates today. Joyce very quietly has five dingers in 54 PA against right-handed pitching on the season with a 10/10 K/BB ratio. He owns a career .349 wOBA with the platoon advantage and a wRC+ of 123. They aren’t eye-popping numbers, but they’re still plenty good enough at this price.
Brandon Belt ($3,900) – It’s imperative to have somebody in your lineup that has some power when James Shields is on the mound. The Padres right-hander lost his command when he came over to the National League and was a driving force behind Petco Park’s spike in the offensive park factor metrics. Belt is now a .276/.358/.459 hitter against right-handed pitching and he’s doing extremely well against them this season. Belt owns a .304/.441/.478 slash in 118 PA thus far.
Michael Conforto ($2,900) – Stephen Strasburg is an excellent pitcher, but Michael Conforto has proven to be an excellent hitter with the platoon advantage. He’s a .317/.397/.624 hitter so far and owns a .427 wOBA with a 173 wRC+. Strasburg or not, this is a guy that possesses the potential to still pick up some points because he’s so good against right-handed pitching. This price is a gift.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 19:
Ross Stripling ($5,100) – Any chance you get to stream an average pitcher below $6,000 in a good pitcher’s park is a solid way to go. Using Stripling allows you to pick one of the three big-ticket items in today’s contests. Stripling has more than enough to get by at Angel Stadium and against this lineup. He keeps the ball on the ground and has some positive signs of regression in his LOB%. You don’t need much for $5,100. If he gets 15 points, that’s a big win.
Michael Wacha ($7,200) – The Colorado offense has been pretty good this season, but I’m not sure I understand this price for Michael Wacha. Wacha is right on pace with last year’s strikeout rate and all of his run prevention metrics are right in line with last season’s performance as well. His .319 BABIP against is a lot higher than usual with modest spikes in line drives and hard-contact. I’d expect him to get better over the next couple of starts, including today’s.
Marco Estrada ($8,100) – As long as Marco Estrada can avoid disaster against the middle of the Twins lineup, this should be a decent matchup for him. He’s seen some nice strikeout gains for DFS purposes with 41 in 43.2 innings of work. The Twins are 27th in baseball in wOBA and still have one of the higher strikeout rates in the league. Estrada is combining strikeouts and weak contact, which will always play.