Welcome to the end of another work week. The work at BangTheBook goes on seven days a week, but it’s the weekend for most of you. That means we can settle in for a nice Friday night with a full slate of MLB games and a full set of contests in daily fantasy baseball. Four pitchers crack the five-figure mark today in DraftKings formats and there’s quite a bit of value among the others. Use these tips to help you build that DFS bankroll.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 20:
New York (NL) – Among pitchers with at least 140 innings over last season and this season, Wily Peralta has the seventh-highest ERA, seventh-highest FIP, and 13th-highest xFIP. In other words, we’re talking about a really bad pitcher. In a rebuilding year, without a lot of pitching depth, Craig Counsell was considering Peralta’s removal from the rotation. That basically tells you all that you need to know. Lefties are batting .303/.400/.521 and righties are batting .404/.458/.660, so stack whoever you want. After a rough series against the Nationals, the Mets should have some frustration to let out.
Oakland – The A’s had some trouble with Ivan Nova, which was unexpected, but CC Sabathia returns from the DL to pitch in front of friends and family at O.co Coliseum. Sabathia has not had much luck pitching in Oakland throughout his career. It’s not necessarily predictive, but it is a consideration as he returns from a stint on the DL. All of the stats are trending in the wrong direction for the big guy once again this season, with the lowest strikeout rate of his career since 2004 and the highest walk rate since his rookie year.
Texas – Lance McCullers has a ton of upside, but he’s only making his fourth start of the season here. He worked eight minor league innings returning from injury and he’s still trying to build up his command and control. Neither were on point last time out against Boston. He gave up seven hits and walked three out of the 22 batters he faced. He’ll get it together eventually, but it would be a pretty big surprise if he put it together this quickly. Texas should get some quality swings.
Here are the top value hitters for May 20:
Nomar Mazara ($2,900) – The kid is still hitting. Nomar Mazara tailed off a little bit earlier this month, but he’s still raking at a .307/.357/.449 clip on the season. He has played his way into a regular role in LF once Shin-Soo Choo returns and that’s a testament to how well he’s played in all facets of the game. He’s batting .282/.310/.462 over his last 10, so the consistency is still there.
Danny Valencia ($3,600) – We’re always going to look to bark up this tree when Danny Valencia gets a crack at a southpaw. Valencia owns a .393/.452/.857 slash against lefties this season and now has career totals of .324/.373/.508 with the platoon advantage. Those numbers are way too much to ignore. Last season we took advantage of Valencia early in the season before prices started to get a little bit high. At this price, he’s worth a look.
David Ortiz ($4,600) – The Red Sox aren’t a bad stacking option, honestly, against Corey Kluber, whose sinker generates a lot of hard contact. Kluber hasn’t been as sharp this season, so we’ll gamble with the best of the bunch in David Ortiz. His retirement tour features a .312/.391/.652 slash on the season so far, with 27 extra-base hits. Papi enjoyed a day off yesterday after an 0-for-5 in Thursday’s night cap, so a bounce back game is very likely.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 20:
Eddie Butler ($5,200) – The goal here is to find the best of the bunch to stream at a low cost and use a guy like Jake Arrieta or Aaron Nola. That guy could very well be Eddie Butler. Butler, a once-promising prospect in the Rockies org, hasn’t been able to stay healthy or development the way he was intended to. In this spot, he brings a really good K/BB ratio to a forgiving park for pitchers. Again, for $5,200, we’re not looking for miracles. We’re looking for 12-15 points to pair with a top-line starter.
Aaron Sanchez ($8,000) – It’s probably time to believe in Aaron Sanchez. The Blue Jays right-hander got rocked by the Rangers to fulfill some impending regression prophecies, so now we’re back to buying in. Sanchez has a 3.29/3.64/3.51 pitcher slash on the season with a good strikeout rate and a high ground ball rate. So far, he’s mostly been able to hide those platoon splits that sent him to the bullpen last season. Against a high-strikeout lineup, hopefully he can be a K per inning guy.
Steven Matz ($10,500) – It’s entirely reasonable to say that Steven Matz is the second-best starter in the Mets rotation right now. Noah Syndergaard is on another level, but Matz has been excellent while Jacob deGrom and Matt Harvey have had their issues. Matz has 35 strikeouts in 34.2 innings of work and has commanded his pitches really well. The Milwaukee Brewers don’t strike fear in anyone, so this is a great matchup for Matz.