Another day of daily fantasy on the diamond is here and 14 of the 15 games will be available for us tonight. A day game in the Sunshine State between the Rays and Marlins is the only game exempt from our look at those DFS value picks to help you with your GPPs, 50/50s, and H2H matchups. There are a couple of aces on the hill today and a couple of guys priced like aces that really aren’t, so it’s a very interesting day for pitchers and hitters. Let’s take a look and see what we can find.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 24:
Boston – Jorge de la Rosa is one of two pitchers coming off of the DL to make a start tonight and we’ll look to fade him by stacking the Red Sox. Fenway Park is really not a place that you want to come back to because command is the last thing to come back after a stint on the disabled list. The Red Sox own a .309/.377/.506 slash as a team at home and are blowing the field away in wRC+, even with the park adjustments made for Fenway.
St. Louis – It has the potential to be a very ugly outing for Jason Hammel. The Cardinals have the second-best offense against RHP by wOBA at .360, just .004 behind the Red Sox, who are just slaughtering opposing pitchers. Hammel is also a regression candidate with a 2.31 ERA, a 3.34 FIP, and a 3.88 xFIP. His 83.6 percent strand rate is going to come down and his 7.3 percent HR/FB% is going to come up, with a career mark of 11.1 percent. The Cardinals are a great option tonight.
Detroit – The suspect command of Jeremy Hellickson will be on display at Comerica Park on Tuesday night. “Hellboy” has already given up nine home runs in 49.2 innings of work this season and he’s now given up 31 dingers in his last 195.2 innings of work. We know how quickly home runs can add up and the Tigers certainly have some guys capable of hitting them. The concerning thing for Hellickson is that, even though he has a 32/1 K/BB ratio against RHB, he’s given up six home runs and a .487 SLG.
Here are the top value hitters for May 24:
Yasmany Tomas ($3,400) – Yasmany Tomas is still an underrated streaming candidate against left-handed pitching. A lot of times, guys that are good against lefties are priced low because they don’t excel with the fatter side of the platoon. Since teams face a left-handed starter maybe 30 percent of the time, they are undervalued with that split. So far this season, Tomas is a .385/.455/.692 hitter against southpaws. He’s a .307/.356/.533 hitter against lefties over his career.
Chris Young ($3,100) – It’s a similar story for Chris Young and the Red Sox on Tuesday night. Young draws a very favorable matchup and is mispriced because of his major platoon splits. Young is a .375/.464/.625 hitter against lefties on the season in 28 PA, though he inexplicably has 28 PA against RHP to lower his overall numbers. Over a larger sample size last season, Young was a .327/.397/.575 hitter against southpaws.
Jose Abreu ($3,600) – It’s been a rough start to the year for Jose Abreu, with a .236/.308/.388 slash, but he’s got a chance to get back on track against Josh Tomlin on Tuesday night. Tomlin, as we know, is a strike thrower that can run into some home run issues. Home runs add up points in a hurry, so rolling with Abreu here in this one could be a really strong decision.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 24:
Nate Karns ($8,800) – This price is a little bit higher than I’d like to pay, but Karns is a strikeout per inning guy and that’s what you’re hoping to find in any DFS pitcher. Strikeouts and innings rack up points so quickly and Karns is making this start at home against a weak-hitting Oakland lineup. Everything is set up for success here and Karns should be capable of putting together a really strong effort in this one.
Edinson Volquez ($8,200) – The light-hitting Twins are having all sorts of issues right now and Edinson Volquez should be able to take advantage. It’s possible that Volquez will avoid Miguel Sano, who could be punished by principal Paul Molitor for not hustling, and that takes away one of the few lightning bolts from this lineup. Volquez has increased his velocity over the last couple of seasons and it has brought him a little bit more strikeout success.
Michael Wacha ($6,500) – Betting against the Cubs in any format is never easy, but this could be a little bit of a tricky spot. The Cubs played late on Sunday night and then played about 12 hours after they got settled in the team hotel. Normally, that fatigue factor comes into play the following day, so the bats could be dragging through the zone a little bit for the Cubs. That should help Michael Wacha, who has a little bit of strikeout upside.