Is it just me or have there been a lot more Wednesday day games this season than in past seasons? We’ll split the day up for you here so you can be a big winner in both early and late contests or simply use the all-day formats to win money. There are seven early games and eight late games here on this Hump Day card, so there are a lot of things to consider. The nighttime starting pitcher list is going to open up a world of possibilities, so we’ll cover that and more.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 25:
San Francisco (early) – James Shields has actually been pitching well of late, but the ball flies differently at AT&T Park during the day than it does at night and we know about Shields’s home run issues since joining the National League. Over his last 261 innings, Shields has given up 40 gopher balls. This season, he has a strand rate of 83.8 percent, which is not sustainable. His 3.07/4.09/3.96 pitcher slash shows some regression red flags and the Giants are a solid lineup, even if Buster Posey is out.
Tampa Bay (late) – The Tampa Bay Rays have to be the top stacking choice today against Justin Nicolino. The Rays are a top five offense in wOBA against left-handed pitching and Nicolino is the type of guy that they can really knock around. Nicolino has 29 strikeouts in 103.1 career MLB innings and six in 29.1 innings this season. He’s managed to get by with a .233 BABIP against, but the Rays are going to get plenty of good swings.
Arizona (late) – Another team that tattoos lefties is the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jeff Locke is certainly one that the Diamondbacks can handle. Locke has a 5.00 ERA with a 5.02 FIP and a 4.82 xFIP on the season, with terrible walk and home run rates. Arizona is fourth in wOBA against LHP at .355. There are a handful of guys with great platoon splits that you can roster cheaply to put this stack together and still include Paul Goldschmidt.
Here are the top value hitters for May 25:
Jose Ramirez ($2,700) – Terry Francona is finally realizing the weapon that he has in Jose Ramrez. Ramirez hit second in yesterday’s lineup against left-hander Chris Sale, so expect premier lineup placement again for Ramirez against Jose Quintana. With Francisco Lindor expected to sit, JRam should bat top three against the White Sox hurler, who is due for a little bit of regression per the advanced metrics. Ramirez is a .286/.345/.429 hitter and comes at a very cheap price with some positional flexibility.
Ryan Braun (late) ($4,400) – Not sure if you’ve noticed, but Ryan Braun is having a big season. He owns a .357/.419/.579 slash for the Brewers and has a very favorable matchup against Mike Foltynewicz today. Folty throws his fastball a lot and we know that Braun can handle fastballs, even those with premium velocity. Braun has been a little bit better against lefties, but still owns a .953 OPS against RHP on the season.
Chris Davis (late) ($4,100) – This price seems like a gift for Chris Davis against Collin McHugh and the Astros. Davis is doing his usual low average, high OBP, high SLG routine and it works well for him and the Orioles. He’s down a little bit from last season’s pace but that’s to be expected. McHugh has already given up 63 hits and six dingers in 47.1 innings of work. Lefties have a .523 SLG off of him in 118 PA with five of those six home runs.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 25:
Carlos Martinez (early) ($6,600) – Sometimes teams can fall into an offensive lull when they take an elite pitcher for granted. That seems like a possibility here for the Cubs with Jake Arrieta on the bump. The Cubs played out in Calfornia in their previous series and put a beating on the Cardinals last night. Tomorrow is an off day for the Cubs, who are 30-14 on the season. They don’t need to give Arrieta a lot of support and I’d be surprised if they do.
Junior Guerra (late) ($7,400) – In a sense, every pitcher is a value pitcher on the night slate because the most expensive pitcher is $8,800. Through four starts, Junior Guerra looks like a great value pick-up for the Brewers, who scooped him up this past winter. Guerra has struck out 24 in his 25 innings and has only allowed 18 hits. He’s struggled with men on base, but the Braves are a terrible offensive team and he’s due for some positive regression in some of those areas.
Steven Wright (late) ($8,800) – The Colorado Rockies don’t see a whole lot of knuckleballers. In fact, since 2010, 0.1 percent of the pitches seen by Rockies hitters have been classified knuckleballs by PITCHf/x. A matchup against a quality knuckler in Steven Wright probably won’t go well for the Rockies. Wright has 47 K in 53.2 innings of work, so he’s picking up points by pitching well, working deep, and getting strikeouts.