With a lot of teams in action on Monday’s Memorial Day holiday, nearly half of the league is enjoying Thursday off. There are eight games, so there are 16 teams to pick from for today’s daily fantasy slate. The two most expensive pitchers are dueling in the same game between the Rays and Marlins, so it could be a very interesting day for DFS players. With a relatively small sample size to choose from, finding value is extremely important.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 26:
Boston – I’m a Jon Gray fan, but this is not an optimal situation. There are a ton of signs of positive regression Gray’s statistical profile, with a 50.9 percent LOB% and a .376 BABIP against. He’s struck out 39 in 32 innings. The stuff is there. The execution and sequencing have not been. This wraps up a long, brutal road trip for the Rockies, who have lost six of seven and lost out on their Monday off day because of a makeup game in Pittsburgh. This is the type of spot where a team can roll over defensively and that’s the last thing Gray needs at Fenway Park against an elite lineup.
Toronto – The Blue Jays haven’t reached the level that they were at last season, though a matchup with CC Sabathia could help them bump those numbers up. Sabathia is making his second start back after returning from the DL and his command and control have been poor this season. Toronto is only 12th in wOBA against left-handed pitchers this season. They were historically good last season, so I would expect things to improve for them in short order.
Kansas City – The Royals have been cobbling lineups together with Alex Gordon and Mike Moustakas both out and yet they keep hitting. No team has run better for this long in MLB history than the Royals. Why wouldn’t it continue against Miguel Gonzalez? Gonzalez just faced the Royals last weekend, so they should make some adjustments, and his 4.57/4.80/5.03 pitcher slash would suggest that adjustments may not be his strong suit.
Here are the top value hitters for May 26:
Jackie Bradley Jr . ($4,000) – Jackie Bradley Jr. is on an absolute tear right now and he has carried it through the season. The former South Carolina standout is batting .350/.417/.625 this season and it hasn’t really mattered whether he’s had a platoon advantage or not. He has 24 extra-base hits already and the Red Sox lineup offers plenty of chances to drive in runs or touch home plate.
Jarrod Dyson ($3,700) – If Jarrod Dyson can get on base, he can rack up some stolen base points. Since 2014, opposing baserunners are 18-for-21 in stealing bags off of Miguel Gonzalez. Stolen bases don’t add up the way run-scoring hits or home runs do, but Dyson is a sneaky play here tonight against a battery that won’t have much success throwing him out.
Mallex Smith ($3,700) – In 89 plate appearances against righties this season, Mallex Smith has been a very solid offensive contributor. He owns a .296/.333/.519 slash. He’s picked up six stolen bases on the year and also has shown those good skills with the platoon advantage. Against Wily Peralta, who is one of the league’s worst pitchers, there’s some value in a guy like this.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 26:
Patrick Corbin ($7,200) – It’s a very early start time, but that’s why Patrick Corbin is a good option today. Both of these teams head out after this getaway day affair and it could be one of those days where both teams are just looking to get to the airport. The Diamondbacks are facing Gerrit Cole, so runs could certainly be at a premium here. Corbin has had some issues this season, but PNC Park is pretty forgiving from a home run standpoint and those have been Corbin’s biggest problem.
Gerrit Cole ($9,900) – Speaking of Cole, it’s not a great day for finding value in the hitting or pitching markets, but he is a guy that can put up a big stat line for you. The Diamondbacks hit lefties far better than they hit righties and Cole should have success here with this getaway day matchup. It’s a little bit surprising that he doesn’t have more than 39 strikeouts in 48.1 innings, but I’d expect that to improve in short order.
Matt Wisler ($9,100) – This is a bit of a steep price to pay for Wisler, but he’s throwing the ball quite well right now and the Brewers aren’t much of an offensive threat. Turner Field is a pretty neutral park, so we aren’t worried about anything like that and Wisler has done a tremendous job of inducing weak contact to avoid getting hurt by extra-base hits and long balls.