It’s a good feeling to wake up on a Sunday morning and know that it’s a three-day weekend. A lot of afternoon baseball will be played over the next couple of days, so plan accordingly with your handicapping or your DFS play. As you know, Sundays can be a little bit tricky because managers like to get players a break with day games after night games and some teams are in long stretches without off days now. It’s always best to wait until lineups come out, but keep these value picks in mind as you add to your roster.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 29:
Baltimore – Mike Clevinger has plus-plus flow, but so far, he’s shown that he’s not ready for the Major Leagues. The rookie call-up has given up 10 runs on 12 hits in 10.1 innings of work so far and four of those hits have left the ballpark. This Orioles lineup is pretty stacked top to bottom and there aren’t many easy outs. It’s also been warm and humid in Cleveland, so the ball has traveled very well.
Pittsburgh – The Pirates own the second-best wOBA in baseball against southpaws and they draw a very hittable one here on Sunday in Martin Perez. Perez has a 3.13 ERA with a 4.34 FIP and a 4.64 xFIP. There’s a lot of regression in his profile, as he’s managed to pitch around a high walk rate with a high LOB% of 77.2 percent. You don’t see 57 percent ground ball guys posting .263 BABIPs against. Regression should come soon, so hopefully the Pirates can deliver it.
Washington – There’s something going on with Michael Wacha right now. Wacha is up to a 5.04 ERA with a 3.80 FIP and a 4.01 xFIP. The right-hander has not been able to command from the stretch and has given up 24 runs over his last 18 innings of work. His defense hurt him four starts ago and he’s already given up seven unearned runs on the season. There’s not much to like right now and the Nationals may take full advantage.
Here are the top value hitters for May 29:
Anthony Rizzo ($3,700) – It’s rare to get good hitters at really low prices, but this is an excellent price for Anthony Rizzo. The Phillies are throwing Vincent Velasquez at the Cubs today, so that’s why the price is so low, but Rizzo is a .262/.397/.549 hitter against righties on the season. That’s pretty similar to his .267/.364/.491 career slash against opposite-handed pitching. He’s very much worth a look here today.
Yasmany Tomas ($3,500) – Finding guys that excel on the short side of the platoon is always a good option. That’s the case with Yasmany Tomas, who is a .362/.434/.702 hitter against lefties this season and a .304/.355/.544 hitter for his career. He draws a tough one here in Drew Pomeranz, but we’re always going to anticipate that guys that excel with that split get some good swings regardless of the pitcher.
Travis Shaw ($3,500) – It’s kind of incredible that DFS algorithms still haven’t really adjusted to Travis Shaw. Shaw owns a .302/.365/.527 slash on the season and he’s done damage against both sides of the platoon. Perhaps it has something to do with his recent struggles, but he’s proven to be a good hitter and RA Dickey is a good matchup for just about everybody right now.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 29:
Francisco Liriano ($7,000) – It’s been a struggle for Francisco Liriano this season with some command issues, but we want to isolate the guys that have a lot of strikeout upside at low prices. Liriano is certainly one of those. The unfamiliar lefty angle is in play here and the Rangers are a couple ticks below league average offensively against lefties. The Rangers also have a 5.6 percent BB% against lefties and we know that Liriano’s biggest issue is the walk.
Jake Odorizzi ($7,400) – Jake Odorizzi is solid. That’s the best way to describe him. He’s posting his second straight season with a sub-3.50 ERA and just knows how to induce weak contact that creates easy outs. He has some strikeout upside as well. It’s not as much as Liriano, but Odorizzi is taking on an inconsistent Yankees lineup here on Sunday that may not have a whole lot of success.
Nate Eovaldi ($9,800) – The Rays excel against left-handed pitching and it has given them impressive numbers so far this season, but they are not stellar against right-handed pitching. Tampa Bay is 20th in wOBA against righties with the league’s highest strikeout rate. Eovaldi seems to have fulfilled that power pitcher projection and is a guy to watch very closely going forward.