On this Memorial Day holiday, we have a full slate of Major League Baseball action to consider in daily fantasy contests. All 30 teams will take the field on a day to celebrate and give thanks for the sacrifices of the great servicemen and women of the United States armed forces. There will be a lot of day baseball on Monday, with 10 afternoon/early evening contests and five games played under the lights. Let’s see who should be on the DFS radar for May 30.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for May 30:
Colorado (early) – Dan Straily has been one of baseball’s great stories so far. The former highly-touted prospect turned minor league fodder is now a reliable starter for the Cincinnati Reds. Unfortunately, Straily is running into a regression buzz saw and it comes with a start at Coors Field. Straily has a 2.98 ERA, but he has a 4.24 FIP and a 4.33 xFIP. There’s nothing that would suggest that his .225 BABIP is remotely sustainable, so we’ll look for him to have some hardships in the worst pitcher’s park in baseball.
San Francisco (early) – The Giants had a little bit of a hike to Atlanta to take on Mike Foltynewicz, but a matchup against him should fire up the bats. Foltynewicz relies a lot on a pretty straight fastball that does have premium velocity, but has been very hittable during his Major League tenure. Foltynewicz has allowed 25 home runs in 132.2 career MLB innings and 166 hits. We know how fast home runs add up.
Pittsburgh (late) – Justin Nicolino doesn’t miss bats and that’s a big problem against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who entered Sunday’s game with the second-best offense by wOBA against left-handed pitchers. They struggled against Martin Perez, but don’t expect the same against Nicolino. He has a 4.37/5.03/5.41 pitcher slash with 12 strikeouts and 12 walks in 35 innings this season. He’s given up a hit per inning and four home runs. The Pirates should get plenty of good swings and chances to score in this one.
Here are the top value hitters for May 30:
Mitch Moreland (early) ($3,100) – Call it a hunch if you want, but Mitch Moreland should be on the verge of getting on a bit of a run. He homered in Sunday’s game and has showcased good plate discipline without good results. Moreland has a .279 BABIP, 12 points lower than his career average, and his power hasn’t really been there yet this season. With a matchup against Josh Tomlin at Progressive Field, where the ball has been flying over the last few days, this could be the start of a breakout.
Victor Martinez (late) ($3,700) – Victor Martinez is still raking against right-handed pitching. The 37-year-old owns a .368/.401/.579 slash this season when batting left-handed. He’ll do that on Monday against Jhoulys Chacin of the Angels. After an injury-plagued 2015, in which Martinez still hit 10 of his 11 HR off of RHP, he’s back to being himself and he’s a great value.
Russell Martin (late) ($3,300) – Russell Martin is coming out of it. It’s still a little bit hit or miss for the backstop, but he’s got three home runs and six RBI over his last five games. He’s way too good of a hitter for this to continue and a matchup against Ivan Nova should be the cure for what ails him. Martin should see some regression to the mean in his BB%, K%, and power metrics as we go along.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 30:
Matt Harvey (early) ($6,200) – It’s incredible to see just how far Matt Harvey has fallen. He catches the Chicago White Sox here in this start and there are a lot of distractions for the right-hander. He’s been the target of the relentless New York media and he’s been pretty terrible on the mound. The White Sox are not a good offensive club, however, and it’s about time he gets back on track. This is a gut feeling, but this is a lineup that never sees him, so he should have some upside. Cheap strikeout upside is always the goal.
Carlos Martinez (early) ($7,400) – Speaking of cheap strikeout upside, Carlos Martinez takes on a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that has struck out a lot against right-handed pitching. Ryan Braun isn’t healthy, eliminating Milwaukee’s biggest offensive threat, and Martinez has plenty of strikeout potential. He hasn’t shown it much this year and has struggled overall, but he’s still a worthy streaming candidate with a high GB rate and a great matchup.
Tanner Roark (late) ($9,600) – I don’t know just how sustainable Tanner Roark’s strikeout spike is, but I do know that he has refined a changeup this season and it has been a big separator for him. Roark has 58 K in 63 innings of work and he has done well to overcome a relatively high BB%. With a high ground ball rate and a great strikeout rate, the Phillies should be no match for him.