For the first day of June, we’ll trim our DFS focus to the 11 night games on the Wednesday night card. As we’ve discussed here recently, the weather is warming up across the country, so the ball’s going to carry even better in some places. Home runs are up across the league this season and it will be interesting to see if that trend continues throughout the summer. Let’s see what we can find for June 1.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 1:
Colorado – You almost have to, right? The Rockies blasted seven dingers and made somebody a big winner for a Coors Field stack yesterday. On Wednesday night, they draw John Lamb, an erratic left-hander with a lot of command trouble. Lamb has given up five home runs and 31 hits in his 23.2 innings of work. He also has a 14/12 K/BB ratio. If Lamb doesn’t get up runs, the Reds bullpen will probably make an early appearance.
Pittsburgh – The early-season hype Adam Conley got has died down quite a bit since. The Marlins left-hander hasn’t been bad, per se, but he has been extremely inconsistent. He lasted just 4.1 innings against the Braves last time out, though he only gave up two runs on eight hits. He walked seven on May 22 and allowed six runs on seven hits to the Nationals. The Pirates bring the third-best offense by wOBA, second-best by wRC+, and second-best by wOBA against left-handed pitching into this game.
Chicago Cubs – We don’t get as many chances as we’d like to stack the Cubs lineup because they play a lot of day games at Wrigley Field and not all contests are all day formats, but we get a good opportunity here against Mike Bolsinger and the Dodgers. The Cubs are fourth in wOBA against right-handed pitching on the year and Bolsinger is making just his third MLB start of the year. He’s given up five runs on 10 hits, including two home runs, in 10 innings this season.
Here are the top value hitters for June 1:
David Freese ($3,800) – David Freese is swinging a good stick right now for the Pirates. He’s up to .296/.374/.428 on the year with this recent hot stretch. He’s a great platoon bat on the thin side of the split, batting .394/.429/.667 against lefties on the campaign. Freese is now a .301/.370/.470 hitter against lefties in his career. He had a lot of success against Justin Nicolino on Monday and could follow that up nicely here on Wednesday against another southpaw.
Steve Pearce ($3,700) – It’s “Pick on Lefties” day here in the DFS piece as we look at Steve Pearce. Truthfully, the Rays aren’t a bad stacking option against Danny Duffy because they have owned lefties on the season. Pearce is one of several Rays with good splits on that side of the matchup. He’s hit five home runs in just 48 PA against lefties this season with a .405/.479/.833 split. He owns a .507 career SLG against southpaws.
Carlos Correa ($3,600) – Good hitters sometimes slump and the DFS algorithms will drop the prices very quickly on those guys. Carlos Correa is a great value pick here at this price. He’s struggled in his sophomore season, especially against lefties like the one he faces on Wednesday in Robbie Ray. But, Correa was a .274/.343/.556 hitter with the platoon advantage last season. I’ll buy into that larger sample size over this season’s smaller one.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 1:
Matt Shoemaker ($7,100) – It’s not a great night for value hurlers, but we’ll give Matt Shoemaker a look. The Angels right-hander has 45 strikeouts in 45.1 innings of work and we’re always looking for strikeout upside in these value picks. The Tigers have some big bats, but they’re heading home after this west coast swing, so maybe they have one foot towards the plane and we can take advantage.
Michael Fulmer ($7,500) – It’s the same story here with Michael Fulmer, who, like Shoemaker, has some command issues, but also has strikeout upside. Fulmer has 36 punchouts in his first 34 Major League innings. He only had three last start, but navigated 7.1 scoreless innings. Confidence is growing for the right-hander and the Angels aren’t exactly a stellar lineup. They have tomorrow off, so perhaps the Angels are looking forward to that day off.
Jon Lester ($9,900) – The best lineup money can buy, allegedly, ranks 21st in wOBA against left-handed pitchers on the season. That should be a good matchup for Jon Lester, who has 59 strikeouts in 61.2 innings and has gone over six innings per start. Innings and strikeouts add up quickly in DFS formats and that’s what we’re interested in. He’s a safer bet than two of the pitchers priced above him, so there’s value in that.