It’s the start of a new MLB weekend tonight with 15 games spread across the primetime hours. It’s an outstanding day for pitching, with nine guys a DraftKings cracking the $10,000 mark. That will make it tough for DFS players to field a good lineup and also select some of the better pitchers on the card for tonight. That’s why we’re here, to help with those value picks that can give you an edge over the competition.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 10:
New York Yankees – Any time Mike Pelfrey is on the mound, we’re going to look to fade him. Pelfrey has gotten a little bit better of late, but it’s pretty telling when “better” means you have a 4.76 ERA with a 5.48 FIP and a 4.96 xFIP. The Yankees got the bats going a bit against the Angels and their lefties will have a sizable platoon advantage with the short porch. Lefties are batting .339/.390/.512 on the year.
Colorado – Any time the Rockies are at home, their players have to be considered. Today is no different with Andrew Cashner on the hill. Cashner has a pitcher slash of 4.78/4.76/4.89 on the season with ugly K/BB rates. The only thing currently saving him is a high ground ball rate, but pitching in Coors Field is so much different than pitching anywhere else. Spin rates are lower. Movement is decreased. That could hurt Cashner in a big way. Pitcher ballpark stats are often irrelevant because they are very small, but hitters are batting .309/.363/.553 against Cashner in 103 PA at Coors.
Chicago Cubs – We don’t get a lot of chances to stack the Cubs because they play so many day games, but they’re taking on Bud Norris in Atlanta tonight. The Cubs are fifth in wOBA at .336 and have been the league’s most patient offense. That creates a lot of opportunities with men on base and, subsequently, creates a lot of chances to score runs. Norris has worked mostly as a reliever over the last two seasons, but he’s posted pitcher slashes of 6.72/5.04/4.29 and 5.28/5.08/4.95 in those years.
Here are the top value hitters for June 10:
Nomar Mazara ($3,400) – We’ve been on Mazara several times this season because the 21-year-old has been tearing up right-handed pitching. He draws a favorable matchup here against Hisashi Iwakuma. Lefties are batting .285/.335/.413 against Kuma this season. Mazara is hitting .336/.391/.555 with the platoon advantage. Add it all up and he’s a great value buy at this price.
Francisco Lindor ($4,000) – The switch-hitting shortstop is swinging a good stick against lefties on the season. Lindor has a .342/.385/.466 slash against southpaws and he draws a very hittable one in Hector Santiago on Friday night. Lindor has improved his K% and BB% from last season and is also a threat to steal bases. He’s got a little bit of everything and that’s a nice DFS skill set.
Corey Seager ($4,000) – If you don’t want to go the Lindor route, you can go the Corey Seager route. The Dodgers shortstop has the best chance of anybody at hitting Johnny Cueto. Seager is batting a robust .333/.410/.879 over his last 10 games to bump his season slash line to .283/.345/.524.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 10:
Sonny Gray ($6,500) – The A’s right-hander looked a lot better in his return to the rotation after a quick DL stint for a variety of minor ailments. Gray will face one less hitter with this start in Cincinnati, so that should help him, and his pitch mix is unfamiliar to the Reds. Many of Gray’s rate stats are out of whack compared to his career averages, so positive regression is coming.
Junior Guerra ($7,100) – This one is a little bit of a gut feeling, coupled with the fact that Junior Guerra has been really good. The Mets played a long series against the Pirates earlier in the week and rallied nicely to win on Thursday. It’s possible that this could be a little bit of a letdown spot given their current situation. Guerra has 39 K in 42.1 innings and has some solid peripherals by keeping the ball in the park.
Matt Harvey ($8,300) – The Dark Knight has risen in his last two starts, with one run allowed on six hits over 14 innings, with nine strikeouts and one walk. The strikeouts aren’t there just yet, but it’s a work in progress to command the baseball. The Mets have found some mechanical problems with him and he’s working through those adjustments. Against a Brewers lineup with a lot of swing and miss, this is a good spot to stream Harvey and see what happens.