The Sunday slate in daily fantasy leagues is definitely an interesting one. No pitcher costs more than $9,000 as several good, but not elite starters are on the hill. The three most expensive pitchers also face some pretty good lineups, so there’s some blow-up potential from those guys that will complicate things. With pitcher costs a bit lower, that means that hitter costs are a bit higher. Finding good value in the pitching market will help you with stacking your lineups for those GPPs or at least finding cheap hitters. Keep in mind that it’s Sunday, which means some players will rest for day games after night games.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top lineups to stack for April 26:
Boston – Going against Bud Norris has been a pretty good strategy so far this season. Norris has allowed 20 runs in his 10.1 innings so far this season. Seventeen of those runs have come in two starts. Even though Norris has averaged just shy of a strikeout per inning, he has allowed 24 baserunners in his 10.1 innings. His mechanics from the stretch have been a disaster and that doesn’t bode well for him. In terms of hitters, the Red Sox are expensive, but no single player costs more than $5,000, so it’s doable.
Kansas City – It’s John Danks’s turn in the rotation again and the Royals are chomping at the bit to get back on the field after Friday’s game was suspended and Saturday’s game was rained out. The Royals have been hitting just about everybody this season and Danks has had a lot of trouble spotting his changeup. As an Indians fan, I’ve watched two of Danks’s three starts and the stuff just isn’t there. The command hasn’t been there and his changeup, his bread and butter pitch, is ranked among the worst in the league.
Oakland – Oakland’s left-handed hitters can feast on a pitcher like Asher Wojociechowski because he throws a two-seamer, changeup combination that leaks back over the plate. The A’s have the fifth-highest wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and the fourth-best wRC+. The Ben Zobrist injury is a bit of a concern, but Oakland is one of the cheapest stacking options on the board for Sunday’s games.
Here are the top value hitters for April 26:
Justin Morneau ($3,900) – We’ll try this again with Justin Morneau on a day of very expensive first basemen. Morneau has a favor matchup at Coors Field against Tim Lincecum. The reason Morneau is listed at such a low salary is because his power numbers have not been there yet with a .377 SLG. Morneau is making the most contact of his career so far, and balls in play usually mean good things at Coors. It’s safe to say that he’s in line for some positive regression and for this price, it’s a good gamble to take.
Trevor Plouffe ($3,900) – Roenis Elias is a tricky left-handed pitcher with a lot of different arm angles, but Trevor Plouffe is a very underrated bat at third base. Plouffe can be frustrating because he’s a low-average hitter, but he draws walks and has power. He hasn’t hit lefties yet this season, but Plouffe’s .278/.353/.430 slash against southpaws was 20 percent above league average last season. With expensive bats in the outfield, saving money elsewhere is paramount to your DFS success today.
Brock Holt ($3,400) – Manager John Farrell promised that Brock Holt would find his way into the lineup against Bud Norris on Sunday, so he’s definitely worth a look at this low price. In limited action, Holt has been very productive and he has a good platoon advantage in this start. Holt has an underrated skill set for DFS with some high BABIP upside and the ability to take the occasional base. He’s not reliable on a day after day basis, but in a pinch, with a lot of expensive players, he’s got plenty of potential.
Here are the top value pitchers for April 26:
Anthony DeSclafani ($6,100) – Anthony DeSclafani had his start pushed back a day due to rain on Saturday and he’s still an attractive option a day later. He doesn’t hurt himself with walks and has flashed very good command throughout his first three starts. Considering DeSclafani rose quickly through the Marlins system, starting the 2014 season in Single-A, the skill set is there. The changeup and slider are good weapons against young, aggressive hitters and a low line drive percentage is a great sign of his control. Regression is coming, so don’t get too high on DeSclafani, but we should get another start or two out of him before it starts.
Hector Santiago ($6,900) – Regression is coming in a big way for Santiago, but this start and the conditions should be enough to mitigate it for one more day. The shadows are a problem at Angel Stadium for day game start times, which could affect the Rangers hitters, and Santiago is pitching at home. Angel Stadium is a good park to pitch in for a fly ball guy like him. He’s throwing fewer changeups, which is good because that has been one of his worst pitches throughout his career. The strikeout increase is a bit surprising and could yield some value against a poor Rangers lineup.
Lance Lynn ($8,800) – Lance Lynn has a favorable matchup against a righty-heavy Brewers lineup that has not produced this season. With Adam Wainwright’s injury, this becomes Lynn’s rotation and this is a good opportunity to show some dominance. Lynn has been outstanding against right-handed bats throughout his career and this definitely has the potential to be a long outing with at least a strikeout per inning and a win. He would be highest on the list of value pitchers at a lower price, but he’s got the best matchup by far of the most expensive arms.