Three day games are on tap today in Major League Baseball, including Game 1 of a doubleheader between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks. The first game is the only one listed in all day daily fantasy baseball formats today, which features Josh Collmenter against Tyler Matzek. All 30 teams are in action today and there are some very interesting pitching matchups for DFS players to peruse in anticipation of the games. To make things easy and convenient given the time frame of this article, all of these tips will be for the night games. That eliminates Washington, Miami, Arizona, Colorado, San Diego, and San Francisco from consideration.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top lineups to stack for May 6:
Oakland – The Oakland A’s were stymied by Trevor May, who actually has some pretty decent stuff, on Tuesday night. They’ll get a crack at a very hittable pitcher on Wednesday night in Kyle Gibson. Gibson has luck-boxed his way to a 2-2 record and a 3.56 ERA, even though he has 10 strikeouts and 13 walks in 30.1 innings of work. His .267 BABIP is going up and his 76 percent strand rate is going down. Gibson’s 3.56 ERA is accompanied by a 4.79 FIP, a 5.09 xFIP, and a 5.42 SIERA. Remember that xFIP and SIERA are two of the best ERA predictors available and those do not paint a pretty picture.
New York Yankees – This one is kind of coincidental, but Mark Buehrle is horrible against the Yankees. I don’t like to do this because over a sample size as large as Buehrle’s, players come and go and so do defenses and catchers. But, Buehrle is 1-14 with a 6.21 ERA in his career against the Yankees, including 0-6 with a 5.98 ERA over the last two seasons spanning 52.2 innings. At this point, it’s probably more mental than anything else for Buehrle. He was also blasted by the Indians last week, so there are some command problems present.
Houston – The Astros have really hit a wall in this series against the Texas Rangers after winning 10 straight games. They may be able to get back on track against Colby Lewis. Lewis has always been a pitcher with a bit of a home run problem and that’s an area in which the Astros excel. From a sabermetric standpoint, Lewis has gotten lucky with a .274 BABIP against and an 80.5 percent strand rate. His 3.00 ERA is accompanied by a 3.68 FIP, 4.31 xFIP, and 4.13 SIERA. He’s a fly ball pitcher and he will be starting in a park that is very bad for fly balls.
Here are the top value hitters for May 6:
Lucas Duda ($4,100) – Duda has shown an outstanding eye at the plate over his career, with an 11.4 percent walk rate. Against a guy like Ubaldo Jimenez, that’s a very good thing. Among 182 hitters, Duda ranks 49th in lowest swinging strike percentage and is tied for 60th in chase rate. Duda hit 28 of his 30 home runs off of righties last season and his selectivity and discipline are big assets against a pitcher like Jimenez.
Mike Moustakas ($3,300) – About the only guy that kills the Indians worse than Mike Moustakas is Miguel Cabrera. In his career, Moustakas has a .263/.330/.428 slash and seven career home runs. Last season, even though he only hit .197, Moustakas hit six home runs in 73 plate appearances against the Tribe. Carlos Carrasco is having some command issues early in the season with a lot of pitches leaking out over the plate. Moustakas is a very cheap 3B with power upside for Wednesday.
Billy Burns ($2,800) – The Oakland outfielder has been batting at the top of the order with the struggles of Sam Fuld and Craig Gentry. Burns offers little in the form of power, but he is batting .368/.400/.421 through four games and the Oakland lineup should have a productive day against Gibson. With some expensive options out there today, Burns could provide some cheap production if he can grab a couple of hits, a run, and a bag.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 6:
Joe Wieland ($5,700) – Wieland will make his Dodgers debut on Wednesday against the hapless Milwaukee Brewers. Wieland goes on regular rest in this start, which is a nice benefit for him. He struck out 22 guys in 20 innings over four starts at Triple-A Oklahoma City. His Major League performances to date have not been pretty, but Wieland was limited by injuries in 2012, 2013, and 2014. Good control is Wieland’s biggest asset and the fact that he’s unfamiliar to the Brewers could lead to a strikeout per inning and a win.
Danny Duffy ($7,400) – Danny Duffy will be a popular streaming candidate against the Indians on Wednesday night. The Indians are 19th in wOBA against left-handed pitching and continue to have lefties thrown at them on a regular basis. Duffy is one with some strikeout potential because of his velocity. The Indians are just 2-9 against left-handed pitching this season and the absence of Yan Gomes has been a big deal for this team.
CJ Wilson ($7,700) – The lefty-heavy Mariners lineup takes on CJ Wilson on Wednesday night. Wilson has made a few repertoire changes for this season. He is throwing his changeup more and his curveball a lot less. His curveball was his worst pitch last season and the changeup and two-seamer were two of his best. He’s gone back to those strengths and has done a good job of limiting damage so far. There aren’t a lot of great value guys on the board, but Wilson won’t be picked in most lineups, so a good start from him can be a separator for you on Wednesday.