Travel days are always an adventure in daily fantasy sports formats, especially when teams don’t have a day off, so managers will often rest key players. There are 11 games spread throughout the day, beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET, with five during the afternoon and six at night. As always, this set of lineup tips and suggestions will feature teams and players from both the matinee games and the night games to help you be the next big winner.
Play with confidence at either DraftKings or FanDuel because daily fantasy sports are completely legal, with the exception of a few states. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top lineups to stack for May 7:
Tampa Bay – The Rays lineup has certainly had its share of problems this season, but they take on a massive regression candidate on Thursday in Nick Martinez. Martinez is 2-0 in his five starts with a 0.84 ERA. His 3.45 FIP is still rather solid, mostly because he has not allowed a home run. That’s why his xFIP sits at 4.73 and his SIERA is at 4.85. Martinez has altered his arsenal to go more of a two-seamer/slider combination, including a drop in velocity. While it has worked so far, he has a 46.2 percent ground ball rate with a .264 BABIP. That’s unsustainable and regression is coming soon.
Oakland – It’s an early getaway day game for Oakland, which is often viewed as a good under betting spot. In this matchup against Ricky Nolasco, however, the A’s should put some good swings together. Through two starts, Nolasco has been pretty bad. His peripherals will regress in a good way with a .500 BABIP against and a 55 percent strand rate, but control has been a problem. He was the “winner” in his last start by allowing three runs on eight hits in five innings. He’ll get better, but probably not from this start.
Arizona – Odrisamer Despaigne is back in the rotation with Brandon Morrow shelved again with an injury. Despaigne has made four relief appearances to go along with two starts this season. Since April 20, Despaigne has only pitched three total innings. That’s not going to be good for his arm strength or his command. At the very least, put Goldschmidt, Trumbo, and Pollock in your lineup for Thursday.
Here are the top value hitters for May 7:
Miguel Montero ($3,500) – It can be tough to forecast which catchers will play on getaway days like this, but Montero will definitely be back in the lineup after Jon Lester’s personal catcher, David Ross, was behind the plate on Wednesday. Montero is having a bounce back season with the Cubs with a .298/.382/.491 slash. Montero’s .318 BABIP might be a little bit high, but he’s back to making more contact and he has gotten plenty of RBI opportunities with the talent in front of him.
Joc Pederson ($4,200) – It’s rare to see a player making this much in the value section, but Pederson has ripped seven home runs since April 27. He’s red hot right now and Mike Fiers throws a lot of pitches around the plate at average velocity. Fiers has allowed five long balls in 115 batters faced so far this season. Even though he’s still racking up some strikeouts, he has also allowed 41 baserunners in that span.
Chase Headley ($3,900) – Headley should have a favorable matchup against Chris Tillman at Yankee Stadium with the short porch. Headley has gotten off to a bit of a slow start with a .238/.294/.386 slash, but the power has started to return and that’s a very good sign. Headley has a little bit of an elevated strikeout rate, but Tillman is not a strikeout pitcher. Headley has a good matchup here and has a good chance at providing points for a decent value at third base.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 7:
Collin McHugh ($8,100) – Collin McHugh wasn’t as sharp as he has been in his last start against the San Diego Padres, allowing three runs on seven hits, but McHugh has a 26/6 K/BB ratio this season and that means that he doesn’t hurt himself. As a team, the Angels are posting an 84 wRC+ so far this season, so they are really struggling. A matchup against a guy like McHugh is unlikely to get them out of their struggles.
Nate Eovaldi ($6,400) – It’s a really tough day for picking out pitchers. Eovaldi has some value against a very dangerous Orioles lineup because of his ability to limit the long ball. There’s some regression present in his .380 BABIP and he has slightly increased his strikeout rate this season, while maintaining his excellent walk rate. Eovaldi has thrown more sliders and curveballs this season, which has induced weaker contact and more swings and misses. If he’s sharp with the breaking stuff, he could mow through the Orioles lineup.
Jake Arrieta ($9,500) – There isn’t a ton of quality out there in the starting pitching market on Thursday, so it’s worth paying for Jake Arrieta. Since becoming a member of the Cubs, Arrieta is 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA and a 42/14 K/BB ratio in 36.1 innings against the Cardinals. Earlier this season, Arrieta shut the Cardinals out over seven innings with seven strikeouts. It’s not the biggest sample size, but Arrieta has owned them and he’s worth a look again on Thursday.