All 30 teams are in action on Saturday, with 12 taking the field in the afternoon and 15 taking the field in the evening. With six games during the day and nine games at night, each section of this daily article will include at least one player or team from the early games. Keep in mind when entering any all day contests that are out there that players may be scratched for the late games, so try to have some financial flexibility to plug a hole if needed.
Play with confidence at either DraftKings or FanDuel because daily fantasy sports are completely legal, with the exception of a few states. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for May 9:
Pittsburgh – The lowly Pirates offense was stymied for most of the night by Michael Wacha on Friday. They’ll take their cuts against Carlos Martinez on Saturday and listeners of The Bettor’s Box or readers of this daily article know that I am not on the CMart bandwagon. His regression showed up in a big way in his last start against the Cubs and the Pirates could do similar damage. Pittsburgh’s impatience has been an issue, but they have some bats with good power and Martinez has not induced much weak contact this season.
Milwaukee – The Brewers offense will take some swings against Travis Wood on Saturday. The Brewers have a lot of right-handed bats, so same-side pitching will give them fits. Wood is a lefty with a home run problem and a lot of fly balls. The Cubs defense is pretty brutal and Miller Park is not a good park to elevate the ball in. The Brewers may be able to scratch out a few home runs off of Wood and those add up quickly in DFS formats.
New York Yankees – Wei-Yin Chen has regression coming. It has been masked by some shaky defense because the Chen has allowed five unearned runs. All five unearned runs came last start. It’s ironic because Chen has been one of the biggest benefactors of the Orioles defense with a .213 BABIP against. His strikeout rate is down, his walk rate is up, and his advanced metrics are suggesting significant regression with a 2.83 ERA, but a 5.49 FIP, a 5.14 xFIP, and a 4.75 SIERA.
Here are the top value hitters for May 9:
Marcus Semien ($3,600) – Semien has a .277/.320/.420 slash against southpaws in his career, which ranks six percent above league average. He’ll face JA Happ of the Mariners in this start. Happ was blasted in his last start as some regression set in and he should be a good matchup for Semien. Semien doesn’t have a high walk rate and Happ has been able to lower his over the last couple of seasons. Happ has allowed a lot of solid contact this season, including a 29 percent line drive rate, and that plays into Semien’s strengths.
Lorenzo Cain ($3,900) – Cain has been raking this season to the tune of a .337/.397/.500 slash. He’s added six steals as well. Against Anibal Sanchez, Cain should get some opportunities to get on base. Sanchez has had some command trouble this season and Cain has been a man possessed since he came back from his two-game suspension as a result of the brawl with the Chicago White Sox a couple weeks ago.
Kolten Wong ($3,900) – Kolten Wong can hit. So far this season, he’s slashed .340/.375/.505 and he picked up a bomb and a bag on Friday night against the Pirates. Vance Worley is a good matchup for him and he should be able to keep this recent hot streak rolling right along. This game could be another rare high-scoring affair at PNC Park, so looking for some Pirates and Cardinals today may not be a bad idea.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 9:
Matt Shoemaker ($7,400) – The stuff has mostly been there for Matt Shoemaker. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is outstanding. His HR/FB% has been an issue, which is scary against a team like Houston, but there’s some regression coming in that number. Shoemaker’s 3.72 SIERA suggests that improvement is coming quickly. He has allowed a high number of infield hits and his ground ball rate should normalize towards his career average soon. A velocity drop is a concern, but his four-pitch mix and right-handed arm slot will present problems for the Astros.
Chase Anderson ($5,800) – Today is the day for Chase Anderson to grab that elusive first win of the season. He’s been excellent and there are no stats that point to regression, positive or negative. He’s got a great K/BB ratio up around 4/1, a 3.38 ERA, a 3.02 FIP, a 3.40 xFIP, and everything else falls into range. Against a Padres lineup that will struggle with good right-handers, Anderson fits the bill. His location has been good this season and his changeup is a plus pitch that will keep the occasional lefty honest. He’s really underrated.
Bruce Chen ($4,400) – It’s Bruce Chen Day in Cleveland and the fans are going wild. Alright, maybe not, but Chen has a little bit of upside against a Twins lineup that probably won’t be real comfortable against the soft-tossing southpaw. Chen had a solid 23/3 K/BB ratio in five starts for Triple-A Columbus. Chen also had a 1.74 ERA. Huntington Park in Columbus is regularly one of the best hitter’s parks in minor league baseball, so there’s something to that small sample size.