We’re going to narrow our focus a little bit here today in daily fantasy by looking solely at the seven night games on the Thursday slate. Overall, there are 10 games, so one-third of the league is enjoying a day off for travel or relaxation. Six more teams are playing getaway day action. Looking at the night games allow us more opportunities to see the lineups, study the matchups, and know who is going to play, because those getaway day games can be tricky.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 16:
Baltimore – Eduardo Rodriguez is on the hill for the Boston Red Sox tonight after a pretty intensive bullpen session earlier in the week. Rodriguez is off to a really slow start. He has a 6.06 ERA with a 7.55 FIP and a 6.57 xFIP through 16.1 innings. He has five home runs allowed and only seven strikeouts against seven walks. He also gave up six home runs in 28 rehab innings at Triple-A, so that’s 11 home runs in 44.1 innings over two levels. The Orioles hitters have to be salivating.
Philadelphia – Options are not plentiful for stacking, but this is an under-the-radar one that may give your roster a unique look on Thursday night. The Regression Monster made an appearance two starts ago for JA Happ and there’s more on the way. Happ has a 3.70 ERA with a 4.72 FIP and a 4.52 xFIP. He’s stranded 79.6 percent of runners with a really poor strikeout rate. As it gets warmer, the ball carries better at Citizens Bank Park, so the Phillies could get some power production.
Los Angeles (NL) – I’ve been a supporter of Junior Guerra so far this season, though he’s starting to show more and more signs of regression. Guerra’s strand rate is up to 76.5 percent with a below average strikeout rate, so his 3.31 ERA may be a little bit of a mirage. He has a 3.83 FIP and a 4.31 xFIP. While I don’t expect him to meet that 4.31 xFIP because he has pretty decent command, he’s allowed a lot of hard contact and the strand rate and the BABIP are going to regress.
Here are the top value hitters for June 16:
Jonathan Villar ($3,800) – One of this season’s biggest surprises is Jonathan Villar. The Brewers shortstop has 23 stolen bases on the season, which is great for DFS purposes, and he’s batting .338/.444/.515 against southpaws. He draws a lefty in Scott Kazmir here today, so Villar could be one of the bright spots in the Milwaukee lineup in this Thursday night affair.
Ike Davis ($3,100) – The Yankees picked up the former Oakland A and New York Met to throw him into a platoon situation at first base. This should be a good matchup for him, as he looks to make an impression with his new team. Kyle Gibson has allowed lefties to bat .366/.422/.634 in 45 plate appearances so far this season. It’s a small sample, but Gibson’s command is nowhere near the levels it needs to be at and Davis is a cheap option that owns a .251/.351/.442 slash against righties in his career.
Justin Upton ($3,500) – Justin Upton is starting to come around for the Tigers. He’s batting .308/.386/.513 over his last 10 games with five extra-base hits, a couple stolen bases, and, most importantly, only 10 strikeouts. Upton has been at or near the top of the K% column all season long. Upton has been better with the platoon advantage this season and better throughout his career with a .271/.377/.499 line.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 16:
Erik Johnson ($5,900) – This one is a big gamble, but hopefully it will pay off. Johnson takes on a Nationals lineup that won in thrilling walk-off fashion last night after a 12-inning affair with the Chicago Cubs. A cross-country flight to take on a much lesser team is kind of a letdown in some respects. Johnson’s first start with the Padres was a little bit unfair in that it came in Colorado. We’ll see how he fares in his first outing at Petco.
Scott Kazmir ($8,500) – It’s been a bit of a bumpy road for Kazmir, who has battled a couple of minor injuries early in the season, but he’s still been able to strike out over a batter per inning and that’s always what we try to find with these value pitchers. The Brewers have struggled offensively against lefties, with only a high BB% saving them from being among the league’s worst.
Aaron Nola ($9,600) – It’s not an easy assignment for Aaron Nola against the Toronto Blue Jays, but Nola is in a position to rack up some strikeouts here in this one. The Phillies right-hander is coming off of one of the worst starts of his career, but that was a bit of regression he needed to get out of the way. Nola has struck out well over a batter per inning and has a 55 percent ground ball rate. There’s a lot to love about his season and DFS players shouldn’t be scared of this matchup.