There are actually 16 games on tap in Major League Baseball on Saturday due to a doubleheader between the Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants. All day contests with 15 games, including Game 1 of the Rockies vs. Giants doubleheader, are available, but most may opt for the split contests with 10 day games and six night games. It will be a difficult day for DFS players with so many early starts, but this daily fantasy sports tips and tricks article will have players for both segments of the day.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for May 23:
Seattle – You’ll be able to stack Seattle fairly cheaply on Saturday because of the amount of left-handed bats in their lineup. Mark Buehrle is finally showing signs of age after 15 straight seasons with 200 or more innings pitched. Buehrle has not missed many bats and is on track to post his third straight season with a BABIP against well over .300. This season, hitters are barreling more home runs than ever and there may not be any regression coming. DraftKings certainly adjusts for Seattle’s platoon advantages, so this is a chance to turn a good profit.
New York Yankees – It’s time for the Nick Martinez regression. A day after Michael Pineda was blasted by the lowly Texas Rangers, Martinez takes the hill with his 1.88 ERA, 4.92 xFIP, and 4.88 SIERA. The Yankees lineup is missing a very key piece in Jacoby Ellsbury, but Martinez’s regression should start very soon. His 79 percent left on base rate is completely unsustainable without strikeouts and his .280 BABIP should rise as well.
St. Louis – Edinson Volquez has been the biggest benefactor of Kansas City’s elite defense, but Saturday’s start against the Cardinals presents a big problem. The Cardinals are in the top 10 in wOBA against right-handed pitching and seem like the right type of offense to give Volquez some regression. Only the Dodgers have had better success against changeups, which has been Volquez’s best pitch this season, and Volquez is due for regression anyway with a 2.74 ERA, but a 4.14 xFIP and a .234 BABIP against.
Here are the top value hitters for May 23:
Evan Gattis ($3,900) – The Houston Astros just missed the cut as a team to stack, but Kyle Lobstein is not very good. He keeps the ball on the ground, which has kept him from further damage, but righties are clubbing a .308/.362/.467 slash so far this season. Gattis has a lot of power. His swing-and-miss issue is mitigated against a pitcher that doesn’t miss bats and has walked more than he has struck out against right-handed bats.
Mike Napoli ($3,800) – Did you get on the Mike Napoli train when I advocated him last week? He’s hit three home runs over the last 10 games with a .890 OPS. He has good platoon splits against lefties and will be taking his swings on Saturday against CJ Wilson. Wilson has some regression coming in his home run rate, which is no surprise given the parks that he has pitched in this season. Fenway Park is a different animal and Napoli is swinging a much better bat of late.
Kolten Wong ($4,000) – This is a drum to keep beating as well. Wong has been terrific this season and he hits pitchers from both sides. His speed is a weapon in this game against Edinson Volquez and he flashes some pretty good power. With the big gaps at Kauffman Stadium, Wong may be able to grab you some extra points with some doubles or triples.
Here are the top value pitchers for May 23:
CC Sabathia ($8,400) – Sabathia has pitched better of late, but more positive regression is coming for him. For one thing, he’s averaging over 6.1 innings per start, so that’s a big help in DFS formats. He has a 4.67 ERA, but a 4.10 FIP, and a 3.59 xFIP. His home run rate may not have too much regression coming, but the strikeout rate could certainly climb. Texas is not a good lineup, in spite of what they did to Pineda, and their two best hitters, Shin-Soo Choo and Prince Fielder, will have a tough time with the hefty lefty.
Rubby De La Rosa ($7,300) – De La Rosa has been dealing over his last couple of starts and it appears legit. The stuff is there, the control is better, and the free-swinging Cubs lineup could allow him to continue his good pitching. Whether it’s the Cubs’ high-upside lineup or the perception of pitching at Chase Field, De La Rosa is not getting much respect in this start and he should be.
Jake Arrieta ($9,500) – He’s the most expensive pitcher in the late games, but the stuff is legit and that cutter will wreak havoc on hitters from both sides of the plate for the Diamondbacks. The Arizona offense has been overachieving a bit of late and Arrieta has the swing-and-miss stuff to bring them down a peg or two. He’s averaging over a strikeout per inning and well over six innings per start. Those are two stats that are of great importance in DFS formats.