After a tough weekend of baseball in daily fantasy formats, the daily grind goes back to normal with 15 night games for Tuesday night. Day games on Saturday, Sunday, and the Memorial Day holiday on Monday certainly increased the degree of difficulty. Players are starting to reach stabilization points in terms of batted ball data and plate discipline stats and pitchers are reaching stabilization points in those same areas. While that matters over a large sample size, daily variance is still the hardest thing to contend with in these contests.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for May 26:
Pittsburgh – The Pirates offense was held in check by David Phelps for the most part on Monday, but they get another crack at a very hittable pitcher on Tuesday in Jose Urena. Urena, a 23-year-old Triple-A call-up, is a pitch-to-contact right-hander that can run it into the mid-90s with regularity. Urena does not have a deep arsenal, with a good enough fastball and a decent change, but that’s about it. The Pirates have been a good fastball-hitting team this season and should fare well in this game.
Kansas City – I’ve been off the Adam Warren train all season long and the Royals should get plenty of chances against him on Tuesday. The Yankees are an awful defensive team and Warren pitches to contact with a low strikeout rate and slightly above average ground ball rate. Warren has a 4.26 ERA with a 4.68 FIP, 4.62 xFIP, and 4.86 SIERA. That means regression is on its way and the Royals and their contact-based lineup with a lot of lefties should be the one to deliver it.
Los Angeles of Anaheim – Looking to go back to the well against Odrisamer Despaigne in this start. Despaigne was pretty good against the Cubs last week, but the Cubs do not excel at making contact like the Angels do. Despaigne has a 6.51 ERA over 27.2 starting innings with a .298/.360/.465 slash against. That’s against National League teams with three of those starts at home. Now he takes on an American League lineup with an extra hitter. The Angels are a strong stacking option, possibly the strongest of this list.
Here are the top value hitters for May 26:
Adrian Gonzalez ($3,900) – It’s surprising to see A-Gon priced so low against Julio Teheran, but the Vegas over/under on this game is 6, so the expectation is for a low-scoring game. Gonzalez has been terrific all season with a .344/.419/.624 slash and he has continued to hit throughout the season. Teheran has been victimized by a high home run rate, which will regress, but his command and control have been off a little bit and the Dodgers have a good chance at taking advantage, despite the low Vegas total.
Martin Prado ($3,400) – Martin Prado has turned himself into an incredibly useful player. He plays multiple positions and has a strong split against left-handed pitching. Prado hit .366/.398/.580 off of southpaws last season and is doing more of the same with a .367/.406/.533 slash this season. For his career, Prado has batted .296/.362/.464 against lefties. Jeff Locke is not a very good lefty. Prado looks like a great streaming option at either position on Tuesday.
Marlon Byrd ($3,900) – Marlon Byrd has hit four home runs over his last 10 games and has always shown a bit of a platoon split against lefties. He’ll face Jorge de la Rosa on Tuesday and that should be a good matchup for DFS players. Byrd is batting .306/405/.667 in a small sample size this season, but has a career .288/.340/.467 slash against southpaws. Byrd seems comfortable in Cincinnati now and his numbers are ticking upwards.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for May 26:
Alex Colome ($5,600) – Colome hasn’t worked deep into games yet this season, but there are some good signs in his statistical profile. His control is better than ever before with a 6.33 K/BB ratio. His home run to fly ball rate will be coming down very soon. If there are control problems, the Mariners don’t walk anyway. That could allow Colome to be more efficient than usual and that would push him deeper into the ballgame.
Jesse Chavez ($6,800) – Chavez could be a very worthwhile gamble on Tuesday night. Not many people are going to pick against the Tigers lineup, but Detroit has struggled without Victor Martinez. They are very right-handed heavy at this point and that works in Chavez’s favor. In 90 plate appearances this season, Chavez has held righties to a .188/.287/.221 slash. He has three good pitchers and a very good slider that induces weak contact from right-handed bats. Jesse Hahn just shut out the Tigers last start and this is a team that is not playing very well right now.
RA Dickey ($6,600) – Dickey has certainly had his share of problems this season, but the Toronto right-hander takes on one of the worst lineups in baseball on Tuesday. The knuckleballer has averaged nearly 6.2 innings per start and is probably not going to be on most players’ radars. Dickey has had issues with his home run rate this season, but the White Sox are 27th in HR/FB percentage and rank 28th in wOBA. Buy low on Dickey and expect some innings.