Daily fantasy players will have a hard time getting over the hump on Wednesday with nine day games, three evening starts, and two late games on the west coast. Most contests will be separated into day and night, so it will be a tricky day. Pitching should rule the day in the early games with pitchers like Felix Hernandez, Chris Archer, Carlos Carrasco, Noah Syndergaard, Gerrit Cole, and Collin McHugh all on the bump. The 8 p.m. ET round of games includes Max Scherzer against Jon Lester. Zack Greinke, Lance Lynn, Garrett Richards, Michael Pineda, Mike Fiers, Jeff Samardzija, Alex Wood, and Scott Kazmir and Andrew Cashner are also on the mound today. It could be a very tough day to be a hitter.
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Here are the top teams to stack for May 27:
Minnesota – It’s an incredibly hard day to find teams to stack with that ridiculous list of pitchers above. The Twins draw de facto Boston ace Rick Porcello in this game. Twins hitters saw a lot of Porcello during his days with the Detroit Tigers and that could give them a bit of an advantage in trying to get over the fatigue to play a day game. Porcello is currently posting the lowest ground ball rate of his career and the highest home run rate. The home run rate should regress a tad, but Porcello is not keeping the ball down and has abandoned his changeup for more fastballs. Major Leaguers hit fastballs.
Milwaukee – Ryan Vogelsong in a hitter’s park? Sign me up. Here are Vogelsong’s numbers on the road over the last three seasons (ERA/FIP/xFIP; BA/OBP/SLG):
2013: 6.42/5.61/.4.59; .310/.372/.544
2014: 5.10/5.41/4.53; .278/.357/.494
2015: 7.43/7.40/5.37; .292/.376/.606
He’s terrible away from the safety net of AT&T Park. This is a day game and the Brewers are not a very good team, so those are two very clear-cut concerns to stacking Brewers, plus everybody and their brother will have a stack of Brewers. Regardless, it looks like the smart play for Wednesday without a lot of stacking options.
Oakland – The A’s have struggled offensively in this series, but Alfredo Simon is not going to make his scheduled start due to an illness with his father. Given that Simon is on the bereavement list, things appear grim. Buck Farmer is slated to start on Friday, so it’s unlikely that the Tigers will go with him. The Triple-A affiliate for the Tigers is in Toledo, OH, so it’s tough for them to call up a starter. Kyle Ryan may be the guy, or the Tigers may opt for a bullpen day. In any event, whoever starts won’t be prepared for it.
Here are the top value hitters for May 27:
Rajai Davis ($3,700) – The Tigers need an offensive spark and it could come from somebody like Rajai Davis. Davis is a good platoon bat against lefties and the Tigers face Scott Kazmir on Wednesday. Davis has struggled of late, but he’s taken 11 bags and has nine extra-base hits out of 26 hits this season. With the offense scuffling, expect Brad Ausmus to be more aggressive on the basepaths and that helps a guy like Davis.
Elian Herrera ($2,500) – The utility man has gotten steady playing time as Scooter Gennett tries to figure things out in Triple-A and he will be one of the Brewers going up against Ryan Vogelsong on Wednesday. Herrera has four home runs in 85 at bats and is somewhat of an all-or-nothing hitter. Fortunately, this is a matchup that favors him and his power potential has great upside against somebody like Vogelsong.
Jung Ho Kang ($3,800) – The Pirates shortstop continues to rake on the season with a .316/.383/.453 slash. A matchup against Brad Hand should play into his favor, since Hand is a guy that pitches to contact and doesn’t have particularly great stuff. The Pirates could have another fun offensive afternoon and Kang should be right in the middle of it. As the Pirates offense improves, Kang will be in more RBI spots and he should have some on Wednesday.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for May 27:
Noah Syndergaard ($7,600) – Go back to Thor for this start against the lowly Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are the league’s worst offensive team by wRC+ and also have the league’s second-lowest wOBA at .285. They don’t strike out a lot, in a relative sense, but they also don’t walk much, which should mitigate Syndergaard’s occasional control problems. He’s going to put it all together and flat out dominate in one of his starts soon, so why not this one against a terrible offensive team?
Carlos Carrasco ($9,800) – Pay this price today. Carrasco sports one of the league’s biggest ERA-FIP discrepancies at 4.74 and 2.63. Carrasco has punched out over 28 percent of the batters that he has faced and bad batted ball luck coupled with some struggles with runners in scoring position have driven up his ERA. His K/BB rate is identical to last season. His SIERA is a spectacular 2.78. He’s going to come around and have one of those seven shutout with 12 K games soon and the Rangers are a possibility with the early start.
Lance Lynn ($8,300) – This is an excellent matchup for Lance Lynn. The Cardinals right-hander can only get burned by Paul Goldschmidt and Mark Trumbo in this start and he fares very well against right-handed hitters. Lynn is striking out almost 27 percent of his batters this season and has a 3.46 ERA despite a very high BABIP against at .345. He’s got tremendous upside in this start and the batted ball luck is going to turn around very soon.