Early, middle, and late is the format for Saturday’s MLB schedule. Seven day games are on tap beginning at 2 p.m. ET and a handful of evening games give way to a full slate of night games. As I usually do in this article, the teams and players will include options for both portions of the day. It’s probably best to avoid all-day contests today and focus on early and late to avoid having any scratched player issues in the night games. With no starting pitcher above $9,400, it is expected to be a good day for offense.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings.
Here are the top teams to stack for May 30:
Toronto – Kyle Gibson is around the plate a lot with very mediocre stuff. It could be a big offensive day for the Blue Jays during the afternoon at Target Field. Gibson has a 2.72 ERA with a 4.19 FIP and a 4.39 xFIP. His .260 BABIP against with one of the AL’s worst defensive teams is not sustainable. Neither is his 81 percent strand rate. The Blue Jays have a lot of right-handed power in their lineup and Gibson has reverse platoon splits this season as righties are batting .270/.333/.424 with a .334 wOBA. This won’t be cheap, but it could be profitable.
Seattle – After getting shelled last time out, Shaun Marcum makes his third start for the Indians this season. Marcum has no margin for error with a fastball in the mid-80s and a quality changeup. The Mariners are not a patient lineup, but they probably don’t need to be against Marcum. His fly ball style may play up slightly at Safeco Field, but the Indians have a poor outfield defense. This lefty-heavy lineup could have plenty of success against Marcum.
Houston – Jose Quintana has had some command issues this season and having the American League’s worst defense behind him has not helped. Quintana does show signs of positive regression, but the gauntlet of right-handed bats coming Quintana’s way is going to make this a tough start. Righties have crushed him to the tune of a .317/.371/.465 slash this season with a .364 wOBA. Houston is always expensive to stack because of their power potential, so weigh the risk-reward here.
Here are the top value hitters for May 30:
Lucas Duda ($4,100) – The Duda abides on Saturday against Tom Koehler. Duda has a .304/.397/.550 slash on the season because he has feasted on right-handed pitching. He has a .872 OPS against righties (surprisingly, he has owned LHP, but that seems unsustainable). Duda has a career .487 SLG against righties and has been above league average against RHP every year of his career. Tom Koehler is not a particularly good pitcher, so this is a great spot to stream Duda.
Andre Ethier ($3,400) – Michael Wacha is showing clear signs of regression and the Dodgers are getting steamed a bit in the betting market, so it could be a sign that the Dodgers are going to score some runs. Ethier is a very expensive platoon bat in real life, but he has been good in that role with a .306/.396/.532 slash line, and has a very affordable DFS salary to allow you to fill in some of the big bats at the premier offensive positions.
Derek Norris ($3,500) – Norris has been a very nice streaming option for reliable production from the catcher position. With a .278/.314/.455 slash, Norris has provided good power. He’s coming off of a walk-off grand slam, which could be what he needed to get out of his mini slump. Norris has 22 extra-base hits on the season. There’s no sense in paying big money for a catcher with a lot of high hitter salaries out there on Saturday.
Here are the top value starting pitchers for May 30:
Wei-Yin Chen ($7,200) – Normally I wouldn't advocate Chen, but the scratch of Jorge de la Rosa and the struggles of the Tampa Bay lineup turn Chen into a decent streaming option. de la Rosa was here in the initial post, but Chen has a reason to be here as well. Chen's biggest issue this season has been the home run and the Rays don't have a whole lot of power. Also, Chen generally does a good job limiting walks, which is one of Tampa Bay's offensive strengths. There aren't many of those, so taking one away increases the degree of difficulty.
Nate Eovaldi ($6,500) – This is a good matchup for Nate Eovaldi because he exhibits very good control and the A’s use the walk to put together most of their offensive innings. Eovaldi has only walked around 5.5 percent of batters over the last two seasons. He forces the opposition to put the ball in play and that’s not the biggest strength of the A’s. Eovaldi has had some bad luck with a .349 BABIP against. This is a good matchup and a good park for him.
Tim Lincecum ($7,400) – The light-hitting Braves are on the docket for Tim Lincecum on Saturday. Lincecum has had mixed results this season, but most of his bad starts have been away from AT&T Park. The Braves don’t see Lincecum very often and that should work in his favor since his stuff moves so much and can be erratic. The downside for Lincecum is that he often doesn’t work deep into the game, but he’s worth taking a shot here with the way the Giants are playing and how good their bullpen has been.